Match

Real Aranjuez vs Alcobendas Sport: prediction and stats

Tercera División RFEF - Group 7Group 7 - 24Kick-off on February 28, 2027 at 05:00 PM (UTC)Estadio El Deleite, Aranjuez

Real AranjuezAlcobendas Sport

The Footlab model makes Alcobendas Sport the favourite at 40%, against 26% for a draw and 33% for Real Aranjuez. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Real Aranjuez vs Alcobendas Sport?

Alcobendas Sport starts as the favourite with a 174-point Elo edge (1,718 vs 1,544).

Real Aranjuez win33 %
Draw26 %
Alcobendas Sport win40 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Real Aranjuez have 2 wins, 2 draws and 11 defeats; Alcobendas Sport have 5, 6 and 4.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Real Aranjuez
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Apr 23, 2023Madrid 2021 FP(away)0-1Tercera División RFEF - Group 7
Apr 16, 2023RSC Internacional(home)0-3Tercera División RFEF - Group 7
Apr 6, 2023Trival Valderas(home)1-5Tercera División RFEF - Group 7
Apr 2, 2023Rayo Vallecano II(away)0-6Tercera División RFEF - Group 7
Mar 26, 2023Galapagar(home)0-2Tercera División RFEF - Group 7
Alcobendas Sport
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
May 10, 2026Leganés II(away)2-1Tercera División RFEF - Group 7
May 3, 2026Trival Valderas(home)0-2Tercera División RFEF - Group 7
Apr 26, 2026Torrejón(away)3-3Tercera División RFEF - Group 7
Apr 18, 2026AD Parla(home)2-2Tercera División RFEF - Group 7
Apr 11, 2026Alcorcón II(away)1-1Tercera División RFEF - Group 7

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 4 meetings: 0 Real Aranjuez win(s), 0 draw(s), 4 Alcobendas Sport win(s).

DateScoreCompetition
Feb 26, 2023Real Aranjuez 0-2 Alcobendas SportTercera División RFEF - Group 7
Oct 23, 2022Alcobendas Sport 4-1 Real AranjuezTercera División RFEF - Group 7
May 16, 2021Real Aranjuez 2-3 Alcobendas SportTercera División RFEF - Group 7
Apr 28, 2021Alcobendas Sport 4-0 Real AranjuezTercera División RFEF - Group 7

Last archived meeting: Real Aranjuez vs Alcobendas Sport on Feb 26, 2023

How many goals should we expect?

Real Aranjuez score 0.6 and concede 2.2 goals per match over their last 15; Alcobendas Sport score 1.2 and concede 1.4. The model gives a 55% probability of over 2.5 goals and 59% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Real Aranjuez0.62.244/156/15
Alcobendas Sport1.21.439/157/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

The current season has no played match yet: final standings of the 2025-26 season.

Final 2025-26 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
11Alcobendas Sport34121013454945

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Real Aranjuez vs Alcobendas Sport?
The Footlab model makes Alcobendas Sport the favourite at 40%, against 26% for a draw and 33% for Real Aranjuez.
Where and when is Real Aranjuez vs Alcobendas Sport played?
Real Aranjuez vs Alcobendas Sport is played on February 28, 2027 at 05:00 PM (UTC) at Estadio El Deleite, in the Tercera División RFEF - Group 7.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab model gives a 55% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Other matches in the same round

Next match: Real Aranjuez and Alcobendas Sport

Ready to know everything about football?