Cala Pozuelo vs Trival Valderas: prediction and stats
Tercera División RFEF - Group 7Group 7 - 24Kick-off on February 28, 2027 at 05:00 PM (UTC)
The Footlab model makes Trival Valderas the favourite at 46%, against 27% for a draw and 26% for Cala Pozuelo. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Cala Pozuelo vs Trival Valderas?
Trival Valderas starts as the favourite with a 126-point Elo edge (1,833 vs 1,707).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Cala Pozuelo have 6 wins, 3 draws and 6 defeats; Trival Valderas have 9, 5 and 1.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| May 11, 2025 | Alcorcón II(home) | 4-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 7 |
| May 4, 2025 | Galapagar(away) | 5-3 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 7 |
| Apr 27, 2025 | Torrejón(away) | 2-4 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 7 |
| Apr 17, 2025 | Trival Valderas(home) | 1-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 7 |
| Apr 13, 2025 | RSD Alcalá(away) | 0-3 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 7 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jun 20, 2026 | La Nucía(away) | 0-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Promotion - Play-offs |
| Jun 14, 2026 | La Nucía(home) | 0-0 | Tercera División RFEF - Promotion - Play-offs |
| Jun 7, 2026 | Las Rozas(home) | 3-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 7 |
| May 31, 2026 | Las Rozas(away) | 1-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 7 |
| May 24, 2026 | Leganés II(home) | 1-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 7 |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 2 meetings: 0 Cala Pozuelo win(s), 1 draw(s), 1 Trival Valderas win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Apr 17, 2025 | Cala Pozuelo 1-1 Trival Valderas | Tercera División RFEF - Group 7 |
| Dec 7, 2024 | Trival Valderas 4-2 Cala Pozuelo | Tercera División RFEF - Group 7 |
Last archived meeting: Cala Pozuelo vs Trival Valderas on Apr 17, 2025
How many goals should we expect?
Cala Pozuelo score 1.4 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; Trival Valderas score 1.5 and concede 0.7. The model gives a 48% probability of over 2.5 goals and 52% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cala Pozuelo | 1.4 | 1.3 | 3 | 7/15 | 6/15 |
| Trival Valderas | 1.5 | 0.7 | 7 | 7/15 | 5/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
The current season has no played match yet: final standings of the 2025-26 season.
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Trival Valderas | 34 | 18 | 6 | 10 | 50 | 36 | 60 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Cala Pozuelo vs Trival Valderas?
- The Footlab model makes Trival Valderas the favourite at 46%, against 27% for a draw and 26% for Cala Pozuelo.
- Where and when is Cala Pozuelo vs Trival Valderas played?
- Cala Pozuelo vs Trival Valderas is played on February 28, 2027 at 05:00 PM (UTC), in the Tercera División RFEF - Group 7.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 48% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
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