Přepeře vs Ústí nad Orlicí: prediction and stats
4. liga - Divizie CGroup C - 11Kick-off on October 17, 2026 at 01:30 PM (UTC)Hřiště FK Přepeře, Přepeře
The Footlab model makes Přepeře the favourite at 60%, against 20% for a draw and 20% for Ústí nad Orlicí. The most likely score is 2-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Přepeře vs Ústí nad Orlicí?
A very open match: only 97 Elo points separate Přepeře (1,757) and Ústí nad Orlicí (1,660).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Přepeře have 11 wins, 0 draws and 4 defeats; Ústí nad Orlicí have 5, 4 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Turnov(home) | 5-2 | 4. liga - Divizie C |
| Aug 16, 2026 | Spartak Police n/Metují(away) | 1-0 | 4. liga - Divizie C |
| Aug 12, 2026 | Ústí nad Orlicí(home) | 4-3 | Cup |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Kosmonosy(home) | 2-4 | 4. liga - Divizie C |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Velké Hamry(home) | 3-0 | Cup |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Letohrad(home) | 4-1 | 4. liga - Divizie C |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Chrudim II(away) | 6-0 | 4. liga - Divizie C |
| Aug 12, 2026 | Přepeře(away) | 3-4 | Cup |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Turnov(home) | 2-2 | 4. liga - Divizie C |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Svitavy(home) | 2-1 | Cup |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 4 meetings: 3 Přepeře win(s), 0 draw(s), 1 Ústí nad Orlicí win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Aug 12, 2026 | Přepeře 4-3 Ústí nad Orlicí | Cup |
| May 14, 2022 | Ústí nad Orlicí 0-3 Přepeře | 3. liga - CFL B |
| Oct 2, 2021 | Přepeře 4-2 Ústí nad Orlicí | 3. liga - CFL B |
| Sep 19, 2020 | Ústí nad Orlicí 1-0 Přepeře | 3. liga - CFL B |
Last archived meeting: Přepeře vs Ústí nad Orlicí on Aug 12, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Přepeře score 2.3 and concede 1.7 goals per match over their last 15; Ústí nad Orlicí score 2.0 and concede 1.9. The model gives a 69% probability of over 2.5 goals and 65% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Přepeře | 2.3 | 1.7 | 4 | 10/15 | 11/15 |
| Ústí nad Orlicí | 2.0 | 1.9 | 3 | 10/15 | 11/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Přepeře sit 6th in 4. liga - Divizie C (6 points from 3 matches) and Ústí nad Orlicí sit 1st (7 points from 3 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Ústí nad Orlicí | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 12 | 3 | 7 |
| 6 | Přepeře | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 6 | 6 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Přepeře vs Ústí nad Orlicí?
- The Footlab model makes Přepeře the favourite at 60%, against 20% for a draw and 20% for Ústí nad Orlicí.
- Where and when is Přepeře vs Ústí nad Orlicí played?
- Přepeře vs Ústí nad Orlicí is played on October 17, 2026 at 01:30 PM (UTC) at Hřiště FK Přepeře, in the 4. liga - Divizie C.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 69% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.