Preston vs Blackburn: prediction and stats
ChampionshipRegular Season - 5Kick-off on September 5, 2026 at 11:30 AM (UTC)Deepdale, Preston
The Footlab model makes Blackburn the favourite at 38%, against 28% for a draw and 34% for Preston. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 21, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Preston vs Blackburn?
A very open match: only 87 Elo points separate Preston (1,765) and Blackburn (1,852).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Preston have 3 wins, 3 draws and 9 defeats; Blackburn have 5, 7 and 3.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 15, 2026 | Bolton(away) | 1-2 | Championship |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Huddersfield(home) | 1-1 | League Cup |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Stockport County(away) | 0-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 29, 2026 | Bradford(away) | 2-3 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 25, 2026 | Marine(away) | 0-3 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 14, 2026 | Wolves(away) | 2-2 | Championship |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Burton Albion(away) | 2-1 | League Cup |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Huddersfield(away) | 1-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 25, 2026 | Strasbourg(away) | 2-0 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 22, 2026 | Nottingham Forest(away) | 0-3 | Friendlies Clubs |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 1 Preston win(s), 2 draw(s), 3 Blackburn win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Feb 20, 2026 | Blackburn 1-0 Preston | Championship |
| Nov 21, 2025 | Preston 1-2 Blackburn | Championship |
| Jan 31, 2025 | Blackburn 2-1 Preston | Championship |
| Sep 22, 2024 | Preston 0-0 Blackburn | Championship |
| Feb 17, 2024 | Preston 2-2 Blackburn | Championship |
| Nov 10, 2023 | Blackburn 1-2 Preston | Championship |
How many goals should we expect?
Preston score 1.3 and concede 1.9 goals per match over their last 15; Blackburn score 1.1 and concede 0.9. The model gives a 48% probability of over 2.5 goals and 54% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Preston | 1.3 | 1.9 | 0 | 11/15 | 10/15 |
| Blackburn | 1.1 | 0.9 | 6 | 6/15 | 6/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Preston sit 19th in Championship (0 points from 1 matches) and Blackburn sit 9th (1 points from 1 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | Blackburn | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 1 |
| 19 | Preston | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Preston vs Blackburn?
- The Footlab model makes Blackburn the favourite at 38%, against 28% for a draw and 34% for Preston.
- Where and when is Preston vs Blackburn played?
- Preston vs Blackburn is played on September 5, 2026 at 11:30 AM (UTC) at Deepdale, in the Championship.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 48% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.