West Brom vs Watford: prediction and stats
ChampionshipRegular Season - 5Kick-off on September 5, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC)The Hawthorns, West Bromwich
The Footlab model makes West Brom the favourite at 56%, against 25% for a draw and 19% for Watford. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 22, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win West Brom vs Watford?
A very open match: only 82 Elo points separate West Brom (1,881) and Watford (1,799).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, West Brom have 10 wins, 4 draws and 1 defeats; Watford have 4, 3 and 8.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 15, 2026 | Norwich(away) | 2-1 | Championship |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Rotherham(away) | 4-1 | League Cup |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Peterborough(away) | 2-0 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 25, 2026 | Shrewsbury(away) | 4-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 17, 2026 | Bromley(home) | 4-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 16, 2026 | Southampton(home) | 2-1 | Championship |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Crawley Town(home) | 1-0 | League Cup |
| Jul 29, 2026 | Fiorentina(home) | 0-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 25, 2026 | Hansa Rostock(home) | 3-0 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 15, 2026 | Barnet(away) | 2-2 | Friendlies Clubs |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 2 West Brom win(s), 2 draw(s), 2 Watford win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Apr 21, 2026 | West Brom 3-0 Watford | Championship |
| Oct 22, 2025 | Watford 2-1 West Brom | Championship |
| Apr 12, 2025 | West Brom 2-1 Watford | Championship |
| Dec 15, 2024 | Watford 2-1 West Brom | Championship |
| Apr 1, 2024 | West Brom 2-2 Watford | Championship |
| Sep 20, 2023 | Watford 2-2 West Brom | Championship |
How many goals should we expect?
West Brom score 2.1 and concede 0.5 goals per match over their last 15; Watford score 1.0 and concede 1.7. The model gives a 50% probability of over 2.5 goals and 50% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| West Brom | 2.1 | 0.5 | 9 | 6/15 | 9/15 |
| Watford | 1.0 | 1.7 | 3 | 7/15 | 9/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
West Brom sit 7th in Championship (3 points from 1 matches) and Watford sit 6th (3 points from 1 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | Watford | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 3 |
| 7 | West Brom | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 3 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for West Brom vs Watford?
- The Footlab model makes West Brom the favourite at 56%, against 25% for a draw and 19% for Watford.
- Where and when is West Brom vs Watford played?
- West Brom vs Watford is played on September 5, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC) at The Hawthorns, in the Championship.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 50% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.