Preußen Münster vs Fortuna Düsseldorf: prediction and stats
3. LigaRegular Season - 9Kick-off on October 13, 2026 at 05:00 PM (UTC)Preußen-Stadion, Münster
The Footlab model makes Fortuna Düsseldorf the favourite at 40%, against 25% for a draw and 35% for Preußen Münster. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Preußen Münster vs Fortuna Düsseldorf?
A very open match: only 32 Elo points separate Preußen Münster (1,878) and Fortuna Düsseldorf (1,910).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Preußen Münster have 2 wins, 5 draws and 8 defeats; Fortuna Düsseldorf have 7, 0 and 8.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 21, 2026 | Karlsruher SC(home) | 1-2 | DFB Pokal |
| Aug 15, 2026 | FC Ingolstadt 04(home) | 1-1 | 3. Liga |
| Aug 8, 2026 | SV Wehen(away) | 3-1 | 3. Liga |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Southampton(home) | 1-2 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 17, 2026 | SSV Jeddeloh(away) | 3-0 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | SC Freiburg(home) | 1-5 | DFB Pokal |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Hoffenheim II(home) | 0-2 | 3. Liga |
| Aug 7, 2026 | Waldhof Mannheim(away) | 1-2 | 3. Liga |
| Jul 25, 2026 | Borussia Dortmund(home) | 2-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 18, 2026 | Lask Linz(away) | 0-2 | Friendlies Clubs |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 4 meetings: 1 Preußen Münster win(s), 1 draw(s), 2 Fortuna Düsseldorf win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Feb 13, 2026 | Fortuna Düsseldorf 0-0 Preußen Münster | 2. Bundesliga |
| Sep 14, 2025 | Preußen Münster 1-2 Fortuna Düsseldorf | 2. Bundesliga |
| Apr 5, 2025 | Fortuna Düsseldorf 1-0 Preußen Münster | 2. Bundesliga |
| Nov 1, 2024 | Preußen Münster 1-0 Fortuna Düsseldorf | 2. Bundesliga |
Last archived meeting: Fortuna Düsseldorf vs Preußen Münster on Feb 13, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Preußen Münster score 1.2 and concede 2.1 goals per match over their last 15; Fortuna Düsseldorf score 2.4 and concede 1.5. The model gives a 61% probability of over 2.5 goals and 64% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Preußen Münster | 1.2 | 2.1 | 3 | 10/15 | 11/15 |
| Fortuna Düsseldorf | 2.4 | 1.5 | 3 | 7/15 | 10/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Preußen Münster sit 5th in 3. Liga (4 points from 2 matches) and Fortuna Düsseldorf sit 18th (0 points from 2 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | Preußen Münster | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 2 | 4 |
| 18 | Fortuna Düsseldorf | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 0 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Preußen Münster vs Fortuna Düsseldorf?
- The Footlab model makes Fortuna Düsseldorf the favourite at 40%, against 25% for a draw and 35% for Preußen Münster.
- Where and when is Preußen Münster vs Fortuna Düsseldorf played?
- Preußen Münster vs Fortuna Düsseldorf is played on October 13, 2026 at 05:00 PM (UTC) at Preußen-Stadion, in the 3. Liga.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 61% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
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- Oct 13, 2026Hansa RostockvsSV Meppen
- Oct 13, 2026FC Viktoria KölnvsSG Sonnenhof Grossaspach
- Oct 13, 2026Rot-Weiß EssenvsFortuna Köln
- Oct 13, 2026FC SaarbrückenvsMSV Duisburg
- Oct 13, 2026VerlvsSSV Jahn Regensburg
- Oct 13, 2026Waldhof MannheimvsFC Ingolstadt 04
- Oct 13, 2026HavelsevsWürzburger Kickers