Match

Preußen Münster vs Fortuna Düsseldorf: prediction and stats

3. LigaRegular Season - 9Kick-off on October 13, 2026 at 05:00 PM (UTC)Preußen-Stadion, Münster

Preußen MünsterFortuna Düsseldorf

The Footlab model makes Fortuna Düsseldorf the favourite at 40%, against 25% for a draw and 35% for Preußen Münster. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Preußen Münster vs Fortuna Düsseldorf?

A very open match: only 32 Elo points separate Preußen Münster (1,878) and Fortuna Düsseldorf (1,910).

Preußen Münster win35 %
Draw25 %
Fortuna Düsseldorf win40 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Preußen Münster have 2 wins, 5 draws and 8 defeats; Fortuna Düsseldorf have 7, 0 and 8.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Preußen Münster
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 21, 2026Karlsruher SC(home)1-2DFB Pokal
Aug 15, 2026FC Ingolstadt 04(home)1-13. Liga
Aug 8, 2026SV Wehen(away)3-13. Liga
Aug 1, 2026Southampton(home)1-2Friendlies Clubs
Jul 17, 2026SSV Jeddeloh(away)3-0Friendlies Clubs
Fortuna Düsseldorf
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 23, 2026SC Freiburg(home)1-5DFB Pokal
Aug 15, 2026Hoffenheim II(home)0-23. Liga
Aug 7, 2026Waldhof Mannheim(away)1-23. Liga
Jul 25, 2026Borussia Dortmund(home)2-1Friendlies Clubs
Jul 18, 2026Lask Linz(away)0-2Friendlies Clubs

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 4 meetings: 1 Preußen Münster win(s), 1 draw(s), 2 Fortuna Düsseldorf win(s).

DateScoreCompetition
Feb 13, 2026Fortuna Düsseldorf 0-0 Preußen Münster2. Bundesliga
Sep 14, 2025Preußen Münster 1-2 Fortuna Düsseldorf2. Bundesliga
Apr 5, 2025Fortuna Düsseldorf 1-0 Preußen Münster2. Bundesliga
Nov 1, 2024Preußen Münster 1-0 Fortuna Düsseldorf2. Bundesliga

Last archived meeting: Fortuna Düsseldorf vs Preußen Münster on Feb 13, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

Preußen Münster score 1.2 and concede 2.1 goals per match over their last 15; Fortuna Düsseldorf score 2.4 and concede 1.5. The model gives a 61% probability of over 2.5 goals and 64% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Preußen Münster1.22.1310/1511/15
Fortuna Düsseldorf2.41.537/1510/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Preußen Münster sit 5th in 3. Liga (4 points from 2 matches) and Fortuna Düsseldorf sit 18th (0 points from 2 matches).

2026-27 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
5Preußen Münster2110424
18Fortuna Düsseldorf2002140

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Preußen Münster vs Fortuna Düsseldorf?
The Footlab model makes Fortuna Düsseldorf the favourite at 40%, against 25% for a draw and 35% for Preußen Münster.
Where and when is Preußen Münster vs Fortuna Düsseldorf played?
Preußen Münster vs Fortuna Düsseldorf is played on October 13, 2026 at 05:00 PM (UTC) at Preußen-Stadion, in the 3. Liga.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab model gives a 61% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

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Next match: Preußen Münster and Fortuna Düsseldorf

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