Where and when is Rot-Weiß Essen vs Fortuna Köln played?

Rot-Weiß Essen vs Fortuna Köln is played on October 13, 2026 at 05:00 PM (UTC) at Stadion an der Hafenstraße, in the 3. Liga.

Will there be over 2.5 goals?

The Footlab model gives a 63% probability of at least three goals in this match.

How reliable is this prediction?

The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Match

Rot-Weiß Essen vs Fortuna Köln: prediction and stats

3. LigaRegular Season - 9Kick-off on October 13, 2026 at 05:00 PM (UTC)Stadion an der Hafenstraße, Essen

Rot-Weiß Essen

Fortuna Köln

The Footlab model makes Fortuna Köln the favourite at 38%, against 24% for a draw and 37% for Rot-Weiß Essen. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Rot-Weiß Essen vs Fortuna Köln?

A very open match: only 63 Elo points separate Rot-Weiß Essen (1,974) and Fortuna Köln (2,037).

Rot-Weiß Essen win37 %

Draw24 %

Fortuna Köln win38 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Rot-Weiß Essen have 7 wins, 0 draws and 8 defeats; Fortuna Köln have 8, 2 and 5.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Rot-Weiß Essen
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Aug 23, 2026	FC St. Pauli(home)	2-0	DFB Pokal
Aug 15, 2026	Havelse(home)	1-0	3. Liga
Aug 9, 2026	FC Saarbrücken(away)	2-5	3. Liga
Aug 1, 2026	Bayer Leverkusen(away)	0-3	Friendlies Clubs
Jul 25, 2026	Borussia Mönchengladbach(home)	1-2	Friendlies Clubs

Fortuna Köln
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Aug 15, 2026	Alemannia Aachen(home)	1-1	3. Liga
Aug 8, 2026	SG Sonnenhof Grossaspach(away)	0-1	3. Liga
Aug 1, 2026	Kickers Offenbach(home)	3-0	Friendlies Clubs
Jul 25, 2026	VVV Venlo(away)	1-0	Friendlies Clubs
Jul 18, 2026	Borussia M'gladbach II(home)	1-0	Friendlies Clubs

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 6 meetings: 3 Rot-Weiß Essen win(s), 2 draw(s), 1 Fortuna Köln win(s).

Date	Score	Competition
Jul 12, 2025	Rot-Weiß Essen 5-0 Fortuna Köln	Friendlies Clubs
Mar 16, 2022	Fortuna Köln 3-3 Rot-Weiß Essen	Regionalliga - West
Aug 29, 2021	Rot-Weiß Essen 2-1 Fortuna Köln	Regionalliga - West
Mar 7, 2021	Rot-Weiß Essen 2-0 Fortuna Köln	Regionalliga - West
Oct 10, 2020	Fortuna Köln 1-1 Rot-Weiß Essen	Regionalliga - West
Oct 11, 2019	Rot-Weiß Essen 0-1 Fortuna Köln	Regionalliga - West

Last archived meeting: Rot-Weiß Essen vs Fortuna Köln on Jul 12, 2025

How many goals should we expect?

Rot-Weiß Essen score 2.1 and concede 2.1 goals per match over their last 15; Fortuna Köln score 1.7 and concede 1.1. The model gives a 63% probability of over 2.5 goals and 65% for both teams to score.

Club	Goals scored / match	Goals conceded / match	Clean sheets	Both teams scored	Over 2.5 goals
Rot-Weiß Essen	2.1	2.1	5	7/15	10/15
Fortuna Köln	1.7	1.1	4	8/15	9/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Rot-Weiß Essen sit 14th in 3. Liga (3 points from 2 matches) and Fortuna Köln sit 16th (1 points from 2 matches).

2026-27 standings
#	Club	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
14	Rot-Weiß Essen	2	1	0	1	3	5	3
16	Fortuna Köln	2	0	1	1	1	2	1

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Rot-Weiß Essen vs Fortuna Köln?: The Footlab model makes Fortuna Köln the favourite at 38%, against 24% for a draw and 37% for Rot-Weiß Essen.
Where and when is Rot-Weiß Essen vs Fortuna Köln played?: Rot-Weiß Essen vs Fortuna Köln is played on October 13, 2026 at 05:00 PM (UTC) at Stadion an der Hafenstraße, in the 3. Liga.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?: The Footlab model gives a 63% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?: The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.