Match

Fortuna Düsseldorf vs SG Sonnenhof Grossaspach: prediction and stats

3. LigaRegular Season - 14Kick-off on November 21, 2026 at 01:00 PM (UTC)Düsseldorf Arena, Düsseldorf

Fortuna DüsseldorfSG Sonnenhof Grossaspach

The Footlab model makes SG Sonnenhof Grossaspach the favourite at 47%, against 24% for a draw and 30% for Fortuna Düsseldorf. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Fortuna Düsseldorf vs SG Sonnenhof Grossaspach?

SG Sonnenhof Grossaspach starts as the favourite with a 144-point Elo edge (2,055 vs 1,911).

Fortuna Düsseldorf win30 %
Draw24 %
SG Sonnenhof Grossaspach win47 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Fortuna Düsseldorf have 7 wins, 0 draws and 8 defeats; SG Sonnenhof Grossaspach have 7, 4 and 4.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Fortuna Düsseldorf
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 23, 2026SC Freiburg(home)1-5DFB Pokal
Aug 15, 2026Hoffenheim II(home)0-23. Liga
Aug 7, 2026Waldhof Mannheim(away)1-23. Liga
Jul 25, 2026Borussia Dortmund(home)2-1Friendlies Clubs
Jul 18, 2026Lask Linz(away)0-2Friendlies Clubs
SG Sonnenhof Grossaspach
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 22, 2026Arminia Bielefeld(home)2-2DFB Pokal
Aug 15, 2026SV Meppen(away)0-23. Liga
Aug 8, 2026Fortuna Köln(home)1-03. Liga
Jul 25, 2026SV Darmstadt 98(home)2-7Friendlies Clubs
Jul 21, 2026VfR Aalen(away)2-2Friendlies Clubs

How many goals should we expect?

Fortuna Düsseldorf score 2.4 and concede 1.5 goals per match over their last 15; SG Sonnenhof Grossaspach score 2.0 and concede 1.3. The model gives a 63% probability of over 2.5 goals and 65% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Fortuna Düsseldorf2.41.537/1510/15
SG Sonnenhof Grossaspach2.01.375/157/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Fortuna Düsseldorf sit 18th in 3. Liga (0 points from 2 matches) and SG Sonnenhof Grossaspach sit 13th (3 points from 2 matches).

2026-27 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
13SG Sonnenhof Grossaspach2101123
18Fortuna Düsseldorf2002140

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Fortuna Düsseldorf vs SG Sonnenhof Grossaspach?
The Footlab model makes SG Sonnenhof Grossaspach the favourite at 47%, against 24% for a draw and 30% for Fortuna Düsseldorf.
Where and when is Fortuna Düsseldorf vs SG Sonnenhof Grossaspach played?
Fortuna Düsseldorf vs SG Sonnenhof Grossaspach is played on November 21, 2026 at 01:00 PM (UTC) at Düsseldorf Arena, in the 3. Liga.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab model gives a 63% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

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Next match: Fortuna Düsseldorf and SG Sonnenhof Grossaspach

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