Match

Preußen Münster vs MSV Duisburg: prediction and stats

3. LigaRegular Season - 13Kick-off on November 7, 2026 at 01:00 PM (UTC)Preußen-Stadion, Münster

Preußen MünsterMSV Duisburg

The Footlab model makes MSV Duisburg the favourite at 47%, against 24% for a draw and 29% for Preußen Münster. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Preußen Münster vs MSV Duisburg?

MSV Duisburg starts as the favourite with a 154-point Elo edge (2,034 vs 1,881).

Preußen Münster win29 %
Draw24 %
MSV Duisburg win47 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Preußen Münster have 2 wins, 5 draws and 8 defeats; MSV Duisburg have 7, 4 and 4.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Preußen Münster
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 21, 2026Karlsruher SC(home)1-2DFB Pokal
Aug 15, 2026FC Ingolstadt 04(home)1-13. Liga
Aug 8, 2026SV Wehen(away)3-13. Liga
Aug 1, 2026Southampton(home)1-2Friendlies Clubs
Jul 17, 2026SSV Jeddeloh(away)3-0Friendlies Clubs
MSV Duisburg
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 22, 2026SV Elversberg(home)1-3DFB Pokal
Aug 15, 2026Verl(away)4-23. Liga
Aug 8, 2026SV Meppen(home)3-03. Liga
Aug 1, 2026Sparta Rotterdam(away)0-0Friendlies Clubs
Jul 25, 2026Arminia Bielefeld(away)1-1Friendlies Clubs

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 6 meetings: 2 Preußen Münster win(s), 1 draw(s), 3 MSV Duisburg win(s).

DateScoreCompetition
Feb 23, 2024Preußen Münster 3-1 MSV Duisburg3. Liga
Sep 30, 2023MSV Duisburg 0-0 Preußen Münster3. Liga
Jul 13, 2021MSV Duisburg 2-3 Preußen MünsterFriendlies Clubs
Aug 8, 2020MSV Duisburg 1-0 Preußen MünsterFriendlies Clubs
Feb 1, 2020Preußen Münster 1-4 MSV Duisburg3. Liga
Jul 31, 2019MSV Duisburg 2-0 Preußen Münster3. Liga

Last archived meeting: Preußen Münster vs MSV Duisburg on Feb 23, 2024

How many goals should we expect?

Preußen Münster score 1.2 and concede 2.1 goals per match over their last 15; MSV Duisburg score 1.8 and concede 1.3. The model gives a 63% probability of over 2.5 goals and 64% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Preußen Münster1.22.1310/1511/15
MSV Duisburg1.81.3410/159/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Preußen Münster sit 5th in 3. Liga (4 points from 2 matches) and MSV Duisburg sit 1st (6 points from 2 matches).

2026-27 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
1MSV Duisburg2200726
5Preußen Münster2110424

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Preußen Münster vs MSV Duisburg?
The Footlab model makes MSV Duisburg the favourite at 47%, against 24% for a draw and 29% for Preußen Münster.
Where and when is Preußen Münster vs MSV Duisburg played?
Preußen Münster vs MSV Duisburg is played on November 7, 2026 at 01:00 PM (UTC) at Preußen-Stadion, in the 3. Liga.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab model gives a 63% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

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