Preußen Münster vs MSV Duisburg: prediction and stats
3. LigaRegular Season - 13Kick-off on November 7, 2026 at 01:00 PM (UTC)Preußen-Stadion, Münster
The Footlab AI model makes MSV Duisburg the favourite at 57%, against 22% for a draw and 21% for Preußen Münster. The most likely score is 1-2.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.5% of the 2,618 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 18, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Preußen Münster vs MSV Duisburg?
MSV Duisburg starts as the favourite with a 215-point Elo edge (2,089 vs 1,874).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Preußen Münster vs MSV Duisburg
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Preußen Münster
5-4-1- 33F. Higl
- 14C. Makridis
- 44Samuel Moïse Althaus
- 21R. Preißinger
- 43R. Rösch
- 36N. Varelmann
- 16T. Paetow
- 5L. Zeller
- 4A. Tikvić
- 2L. Kolbe
- 1M. Behrens
MSV Duisburg
3-4-3- 11D. Kother
- 14C. Noß
- 9L. Lobinger
- 6R. Bulić
- 29J. Bitter
- 8A. Casar
- 3F. Christensen
- 5T. Fleckstein
- 40B. Schlicke
- 4Martin Ens
- 1M. Braune
Computed on October 18, 2026 at 12:24 AM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Preußen Münster have 4 wins, 4 draws and 7 defeats; MSV Duisburg have 9, 3 and 3.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 17, 2026 | SG Sonnenhof Grossaspach(away) | 2-3 | 3. Liga |
| Oct 14, 2026 | Fortuna Düsseldorf(home) | 1-2 | 3. Liga |
| Oct 9, 2026 | Rot-Weiß Essen(home) | 3-3 | 3. Liga |
| Sep 20, 2026 | Waldhof Mannheim(away) | 0-2 | 3. Liga |
| Sep 16, 2026 | FC Saarbrücken(home) | 3-3 | 3. Liga |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 13, 2026 | FC Saarbrücken(away) | 4-2 | 3. Liga |
| Oct 10, 2026 | Hoffenheim II(home) | 3-2 | 3. Liga |
| Sep 20, 2026 | SV Wehen(away) | 4-1 | 3. Liga |
| Sep 15, 2026 | Havelse(home) | 2-1 | 3. Liga |
| Sep 12, 2026 | Fortuna Düsseldorf(away) | 1-2 | 3. Liga |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 2 Preußen Münster wins, 1 draw, 3 MSV Duisburg wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Feb 23, 2024 | Preußen Münster 3-1 MSV Duisburg | 3. Liga |
| Sep 30, 2023 | MSV Duisburg 0-0 Preußen Münster | 3. Liga |
| Jul 13, 2021 | MSV Duisburg 2-3 Preußen Münster | Friendlies Clubs |
| Aug 8, 2020 | MSV Duisburg 1-0 Preußen Münster | Friendlies Clubs |
| Feb 1, 2020 | Preußen Münster 1-4 MSV Duisburg | 3. Liga |
| Jul 31, 2019 | MSV Duisburg 2-0 Preußen Münster | 3. Liga |
Last archived meeting: Preußen Münster vs MSV Duisburg on Feb 23, 2024
How many goals should we expect?
Preußen Münster score 1.6 and concede 1.9 goals per match over their last 15; MSV Duisburg score 2.3 and concede 1.4. The model gives a 65% probability of over 2.5 goals and 63% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Preußen Münster | 1.6 | 1.9 | 1 | 12/15 | 12/15 |
| MSV Duisburg | 2.3 | 1.4 | 3 | 12/15 | 12/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Preußen Münster sit 12th in 3. Liga (12 points from 10 matches) and MSV Duisburg sit 1st (24 points from 9 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | MSV Duisburg | 9 | 8 | 0 | 1 | 26 | 11 | 24 |
| 12 | Preußen Münster | 10 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 18 | 21 | 12 |
A question about Preußen Münster vs MSV Duisburg?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Preußen Münster vs MSV Duisburg?
- The Footlab AI model makes MSV Duisburg the favourite at 57%, against 22% for a draw and 21% for Preußen Münster.
- Where and when is Preußen Münster vs MSV Duisburg played?
- Preußen Münster vs MSV Duisburg is played on November 7, 2026 at 01:00 PM (UTC) at Preußen-Stadion, in the 3. Liga.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 65% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.5% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Nov 7, 2026FC Ingolstadt 04vsFortuna Düsseldorf
- Nov 7, 2026Würzburger KickersvsHoffenheim II
- Nov 7, 2026SV MeppenvsSSV Jahn Regensburg
- Nov 7, 2026SV WehenvsHavelse
- Nov 7, 2026Hansa RostockvsSG Sonnenhof Grossaspach
- Nov 7, 2026FC Viktoria KölnvsFC Saarbrücken
- Nov 7, 2026Rot-Weiß EssenvsAlemannia Aachen
- Nov 7, 2026Waldhof MannheimvsFortuna Köln