Where and when is FC Ingolstadt 04 vs Fortuna Düsseldorf played?

FC Ingolstadt 04 vs Fortuna Düsseldorf is played on November 7, 2026 at 01:00 PM (UTC) at Audi-Sportpark, in the 3. Liga.

Will there be over 2.5 goals?

The Footlab model gives a 63% probability of at least three goals in this match.

How reliable is this prediction?

The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Match

FC Ingolstadt 04 vs Fortuna Düsseldorf: prediction and stats

3. LigaRegular Season - 13Kick-off on November 7, 2026 at 01:00 PM (UTC)Audi-Sportpark, Ingolstadt

FC Ingolstadt 04

Fortuna Düsseldorf

The Footlab model makes FC Ingolstadt 04 the favourite at 46%, against 24% for a draw and 30% for Fortuna Düsseldorf. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win FC Ingolstadt 04 vs Fortuna Düsseldorf?

A very open match: only 14 Elo points separate FC Ingolstadt 04 (1,925) and Fortuna Düsseldorf (1,911).

FC Ingolstadt 04 win46 %

Draw24 %

Fortuna Düsseldorf win30 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, FC Ingolstadt 04 have 6 wins, 2 draws and 7 defeats; Fortuna Düsseldorf have 7, 0 and 8.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

FC Ingolstadt 04
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Aug 15, 2026	Preußen Münster(away)	1-1	3. Liga
Aug 8, 2026	Würzburger Kickers(home)	2-2	3. Liga
Aug 1, 2026	1. FC Heidenheim(away)	1-4	Friendlies Clubs
Jul 25, 2026	RB Leipzig(away)	0-1	Friendlies Clubs
Jul 18, 2026	Palermo(home)	1-0	Friendlies Clubs

Fortuna Düsseldorf
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Aug 23, 2026	SC Freiburg(home)	1-5	DFB Pokal
Aug 15, 2026	Hoffenheim II(home)	0-2	3. Liga
Aug 7, 2026	Waldhof Mannheim(away)	1-2	3. Liga
Jul 25, 2026	Borussia Dortmund(home)	2-1	Friendlies Clubs
Jul 18, 2026	Lask Linz(away)	0-2	Friendlies Clubs

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 6 meetings: 2 FC Ingolstadt 04 win(s), 0 draw(s), 4 Fortuna Düsseldorf win(s).

Date	Score	Competition
Mar 6, 2022	Fortuna Düsseldorf 3-0 FC Ingolstadt 04	2. Bundesliga
Sep 25, 2021	FC Ingolstadt 04 1-2 Fortuna Düsseldorf	2. Bundesliga
Sep 12, 2020	FC Ingolstadt 04 0-1 Fortuna Düsseldorf	DFB Pokal
Apr 22, 2018	Fortuna Düsseldorf 3-0 FC Ingolstadt 04	2. Bundesliga
Nov 19, 2017	FC Ingolstadt 04 1-0 Fortuna Düsseldorf	2. Bundesliga
Apr 17, 2015	FC Ingolstadt 04 3-2 Fortuna Düsseldorf	2. Bundesliga

Last archived meeting: Fortuna Düsseldorf vs FC Ingolstadt 04 on Mar 6, 2022

How many goals should we expect?

FC Ingolstadt 04 score 1.6 and concede 1.5 goals per match over their last 15; Fortuna Düsseldorf score 2.4 and concede 1.5. The model gives a 63% probability of over 2.5 goals and 65% for both teams to score.

Club	Goals scored / match	Goals conceded / match	Clean sheets	Both teams scored	Over 2.5 goals
FC Ingolstadt 04	1.6	1.5	4	8/15	8/15
Fortuna Düsseldorf	2.4	1.5	3	7/15	10/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

FC Ingolstadt 04 sit 15th in 3. Liga (2 points from 2 matches) and Fortuna Düsseldorf sit 18th (0 points from 2 matches).

2026-27 standings
#	Club	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
15	FC Ingolstadt 04	2	0	2	0	3	3	2
18	Fortuna Düsseldorf	2	0	0	2	1	4	0

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for FC Ingolstadt 04 vs Fortuna Düsseldorf?: The Footlab model makes FC Ingolstadt 04 the favourite at 46%, against 24% for a draw and 30% for Fortuna Düsseldorf.
Where and when is FC Ingolstadt 04 vs Fortuna Düsseldorf played?: FC Ingolstadt 04 vs Fortuna Düsseldorf is played on November 7, 2026 at 01:00 PM (UTC) at Audi-Sportpark, in the 3. Liga.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?: The Footlab model gives a 63% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?: The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.