Match

MSV Duisburg vs Waldhof Mannheim: prediction and stats

3. LigaRegular Season - 16Kick-off on December 5, 2026 at 01:00 PM (UTC)Schauinsland-Reisen-Arena, Duisburg

MSV DuisburgWaldhof Mannheim

The Footlab AI model makes MSV Duisburg the favourite at 61%, against 21% for a draw and 18% for Waldhof Mannheim. The most likely score is 2-1.

Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.5% of the 2,583 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Oct 17, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win MSV Duisburg vs Waldhof Mannheim?

MSV Duisburg starts as the favourite with a 215-point Elo edge (2,089 vs 1,875).

61%21%18%
MSV Duisburg winDrawWaldhof Mannheim win

Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.

See the probabilities after AI analysisThe AI adds press reports and last-minute absences, in the Footlab AI app. Sign-in required.

Probable lineup for MSV Duisburg vs Waldhof Mannheim

Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.

MSV Duisburg

3-4-3
  1. 11D. Kother
  2. 14C. Noß
  3. 9L. Lobinger
  1. 6R. Bulić
  2. 29J. Bitter
  3. 8A. Casar
  4. 3F. Christensen
  1. 5T. Fleckstein
  2. 40B. Schlicke
  3. 4Martin Ens
  1. 1M. Braune

Waldhof Mannheim

4-3-3
  1. 7L. Bierschenk
  2. 12V. Thill
  3. 9Gonçalo Gregório
  1. 21J. Rieckmann
  2. 28D. Michel
  3. 8M. Thalhammer
  1. 17Owono Darnell Keumo
  2. 14Oluwaseun God Power Osaro Ogbemudia
  3. 15C. Kammerknecht
  4. 3Moritz Polte
  1. 1T. Nijhuis

Computed on October 17, 2026 at 09:23 PM (UTC).

See the lineup updated by the AIPress reports and last-minute absences, in the Footlab AI app. Sign-in required.

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, MSV Duisburg have 9 wins, 3 draws and 3 defeats; Waldhof Mannheim have 4, 1 and 10.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

MSV Duisburg
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Oct 13, 2026FC Saarbrücken(away)4-23. Liga
Oct 10, 2026Hoffenheim II(home)3-23. Liga
Sep 20, 2026SV Wehen(away)4-13. Liga
Sep 15, 2026Havelse(home)2-13. Liga
Sep 12, 2026Fortuna Düsseldorf(away)1-23. Liga
Waldhof Mannheim
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Oct 17, 2026Würzburger Kickers(away)0-23. Liga
Oct 14, 2026FC Ingolstadt 04(home)0-33. Liga
Oct 10, 2026SG Sonnenhof Grossaspach(away)5-13. Liga
Oct 3, 2026FSV Mainz 05(home)0-3Friendlies Clubs
Sep 20, 2026Preußen Münster(home)2-03. Liga

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 6 meetings: 2 MSV Duisburg wins, 2 draws, 2 Waldhof Mannheim wins.

DateScoreCompetition
Apr 11, 2026Waldhof Mannheim 1-4 MSV Duisburg3. Liga
Nov 7, 2025MSV Duisburg 2-1 Waldhof Mannheim3. Liga
Apr 12, 2024MSV Duisburg 1-1 Waldhof Mannheim3. Liga
Nov 5, 2023Waldhof Mannheim 0-0 MSV Duisburg3. Liga
May 27, 2023Waldhof Mannheim 3-1 MSV Duisburg3. Liga
Jan 23, 2023MSV Duisburg 1-3 Waldhof Mannheim3. Liga

Last archived meeting: Waldhof Mannheim vs MSV Duisburg on Apr 11, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

MSV Duisburg score 2.3 and concede 1.4 goals per match over their last 15; Waldhof Mannheim score 1.2 and concede 1.7. The model gives a 67% probability of over 2.5 goals and 62% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
MSV Duisburg2.31.4312/1512/15
Waldhof Mannheim1.21.726/158/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

MSV Duisburg sit 1st in 3. Liga (24 points from 9 matches) and Waldhof Mannheim sit 11th (13 points from 10 matches).

2026-27 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
1MSV Duisburg9801261124
11Waldhof Mannheim10415161613

A question about MSV Duisburg vs Waldhof Mannheim?

Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.

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Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for MSV Duisburg vs Waldhof Mannheim?
The Footlab AI model makes MSV Duisburg the favourite at 61%, against 21% for a draw and 18% for Waldhof Mannheim.
Where and when is MSV Duisburg vs Waldhof Mannheim played?
MSV Duisburg vs Waldhof Mannheim is played on December 5, 2026 at 01:00 PM (UTC) at Schauinsland-Reisen-Arena, in the 3. Liga.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab AI model gives a 67% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.5% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.

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