Match

Rot-Weiß Essen vs Alemannia Aachen: prediction and stats

3. LigaRegular Season - 13Kick-off on November 7, 2026 at 01:00 PM (UTC)Stadion an der Hafenstraße, Essen

Rot-Weiß EssenAlemannia Aachen

The Footlab model makes Alemannia Aachen the favourite at 43%, against 23% for a draw and 34% for Rot-Weiß Essen. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Rot-Weiß Essen vs Alemannia Aachen?

A very open match: only 54 Elo points separate Rot-Weiß Essen (1,974) and Alemannia Aachen (2,027).

Rot-Weiß Essen win34 %
Draw23 %
Alemannia Aachen win43 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Rot-Weiß Essen have 7 wins, 0 draws and 8 defeats; Alemannia Aachen have 11, 3 and 1.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Rot-Weiß Essen
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 23, 2026FC St. Pauli(home)2-0DFB Pokal
Aug 15, 2026Havelse(home)1-03. Liga
Aug 9, 2026FC Saarbrücken(away)2-53. Liga
Aug 1, 2026Bayer Leverkusen(away)0-3Friendlies Clubs
Jul 25, 2026Borussia Mönchengladbach(home)1-2Friendlies Clubs
Alemannia Aachen
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 15, 2026Fortuna Köln(away)1-13. Liga
Aug 9, 2026Verl(home)4-13. Liga
Aug 2, 2026Eintracht Trier(home)0-1Friendlies Clubs
Aug 1, 2026Roda(away)4-2Friendlies Clubs
Jul 10, 2026SV Breinig(away)5-0Friendlies Clubs

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 6 meetings: 1 Rot-Weiß Essen win(s), 2 draw(s), 3 Alemannia Aachen win(s).

DateScoreCompetition
Feb 8, 2026Alemannia Aachen 3-3 Rot-Weiß Essen3. Liga
Aug 31, 2025Rot-Weiß Essen 2-3 Alemannia Aachen3. Liga
Jan 19, 2025Alemannia Aachen 2-0 Rot-Weiß Essen3. Liga
Aug 3, 2024Rot-Weiß Essen 1-2 Alemannia Aachen3. Liga
Jul 16, 2022Alemannia Aachen 1-3 Rot-Weiß EssenFriendlies Clubs
Apr 10, 2022Alemannia Aachen 1-1 Rot-Weiß EssenRegionalliga - West

Last archived meeting: Alemannia Aachen vs Rot-Weiß Essen on Feb 8, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

Rot-Weiß Essen score 2.1 and concede 2.1 goals per match over their last 15; Alemannia Aachen score 3.0 and concede 0.9. The model gives a 71% probability of over 2.5 goals and 71% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Rot-Weiß Essen2.12.157/1510/15
Alemannia Aachen3.00.9311/1511/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Rot-Weiß Essen sit 14th in 3. Liga (3 points from 2 matches) and Alemannia Aachen sit 4th (4 points from 2 matches).

2026-27 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
4Alemannia Aachen2110524
14Rot-Weiß Essen2101353

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Rot-Weiß Essen vs Alemannia Aachen?
The Footlab model makes Alemannia Aachen the favourite at 43%, against 23% for a draw and 34% for Rot-Weiß Essen.
Where and when is Rot-Weiß Essen vs Alemannia Aachen played?
Rot-Weiß Essen vs Alemannia Aachen is played on November 7, 2026 at 01:00 PM (UTC) at Stadion an der Hafenstraße, in the 3. Liga.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab model gives a 71% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Other matches in the same round

Next match: Rot-Weiß Essen and Alemannia Aachen

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