Primorje vs Triglav: prediction and stats
2. SNLRegular Season - 8Kick-off on September 27, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Nogometni stadion Ajdovščina, Ajdovščina
The Footlab model makes Triglav the favourite at 53%, against 25% for a draw and 23% for Primorje. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Primorje vs Triglav?
Triglav starts as the favourite with a 201-point Elo edge (1,732 vs 1,531).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Primorje have 2 wins, 2 draws and 11 defeats; Triglav have 11, 2 and 2.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Beltinci(away) | 0-4 | 2. SNL |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Dekani(home) | 1-0 | 2. SNL |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Krško(away) | 1-2 | 2. SNL |
| May 31, 2026 | Nafta(away) | 0-1 | 1. SNL |
| May 27, 2026 | Nafta(home) | 0-0 | 1. SNL |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 14, 2026 | Tabor Sežana(away) | 0-1 | 2. SNL |
| Aug 7, 2026 | Dren Vrhnika(away) | 1-0 | 2. SNL |
| May 22, 2026 | Nafta(away) | 1-1 | 2. SNL |
| May 16, 2026 | Bistrica(home) | 0-4 | 2. SNL |
| May 10, 2026 | Tabor Sežana(away) | 1-0 | 2. SNL |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 3 Primorje win(s), 0 draw(s), 3 Triglav win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| May 12, 2024 | Primorje 4-0 Triglav | 2. SNL |
| Oct 20, 2023 | Triglav 2-1 Primorje | 2. SNL |
| Nov 20, 2022 | Primorje 5-2 Triglav | 2. SNL |
| Aug 5, 2022 | Triglav 1-2 Primorje | 2. SNL |
| Apr 20, 2022 | Primorje 0-1 Triglav | 2. SNL |
| Sep 24, 2021 | Triglav 2-0 Primorje | 2. SNL |
How many goals should we expect?
Primorje score 0.5 and concede 2.1 goals per match over their last 15; Triglav score 1.7 and concede 0.6. The model gives a 56% probability of over 2.5 goals and 57% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Primorje | 0.5 | 2.1 | 4 | 4/15 | 8/15 |
| Triglav | 1.7 | 0.6 | 9 | 4/15 | 6/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Primorje sit 13th in 2. SNL (3 points from 3 matches) and Triglav sit 11th (3 points from 2 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | Triglav | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3 |
| 13 | Primorje | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 6 | 3 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Primorje vs Triglav?
- The Footlab model makes Triglav the favourite at 53%, against 25% for a draw and 23% for Primorje.
- Where and when is Primorje vs Triglav played?
- Primorje vs Triglav is played on September 27, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Nogometni stadion Ajdovščina, in the 2. SNL.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 56% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.