Pro Sesto vs Città di Varese: prediction and stats
Serie D - Girone DGroup D · Matchday 19Kick-off on January 10, 2027 at 01:30 PM (UTC)Stadio Ernesto Breda, Sesto San Giovanni
The Footlab AI model makes Pro Sesto the favourite at 44%, against 28% for a draw and 28% for Città di Varese. The most likely score is 1-1. If Pro Sesto wins, the most likely score is 1-0.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.2% of the 5,697 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Nov 13, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Pro Sesto vs Città di Varese?
A very open match: only 30 Elo points separate Pro Sesto (1,777) and Città di Varese (1,747).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Pro Sesto vs Città di Varese
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Pro Sesto
Not enough data to predict the Pro Sesto lineup.
Città di Varese
Not enough data to predict the Città di Varese lineup.
Computed on November 13, 2026 at 09:51 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Pro Sesto have 6 wins, 4 draws and 5 defeats; Città di Varese have 4, 5 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 8, 2026 | Correggese(home) | 4-2 | Serie D - Girone D |
| Nov 1, 2026 | USD Casatese(away) | 0-1 | Serie D - Girone D |
| Oct 25, 2026 | Sant'Angelo(home) | 1-2 | Serie D - Girone D |
| Oct 18, 2026 | Varesina(away) | 0-0 | Serie D - Girone D |
| Oct 11, 2026 | Solbiatese(home) | 1-1 | Serie D - Girone D |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 8, 2026 | Sant'Angelo(home) | 2-2 | Serie D - Girone D |
| Nov 1, 2026 | Varesina(away) | 1-3 | Serie D - Girone D |
| Oct 25, 2026 | Solbiatese(home) | 0-0 | Serie D - Girone D |
| Oct 18, 2026 | Arconatese(away) | 5-1 | Serie D - Girone D |
| Oct 11, 2026 | Oltrepò(home) | 2-0 | Serie D - Girone D |
What does the head-to-head say?
In the last meeting: 1 Pro Sesto win, 0 draws, 0 Città di Varese wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Sep 12, 2026 | Città di Varese 0-2 Pro Sesto | Serie D - Girone D |
Last archived meeting: Città di Varese vs Pro Sesto on Sep 12, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Pro Sesto score 1.7 and concede 1.0 goals per match over their last 15; Città di Varese score 1.7 and concede 1.8. The model gives a 45% probability of over 2.5 goals and 50% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pro Sesto | 1.7 | 1.0 | 6 | 7/15 | 7/15 |
| Città di Varese | 1.7 | 1.8 | 4 | 9/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Pro Sesto sit 6th in Serie D - Girone D (18 points from 11 matches) and Città di Varese sit 10th (14 points from 11 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | Pro Sesto | 11 | 5 | 3 | 3 | 23 | 11 | 18 |
| 10 | Città di Varese | 11 | 3 | 5 | 3 | 17 | 13 | 14 |
A question about Pro Sesto vs Città di Varese?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Pro Sesto vs Città di Varese?
- The Footlab AI model makes Pro Sesto the favourite at 44%, against 28% for a draw and 28% for Città di Varese.
- Where and when is Pro Sesto vs Città di Varese played?
- Pro Sesto vs Città di Varese is played on January 10, 2027 at 01:30 PM (UTC) at Stadio Ernesto Breda, in the Serie D - Girone D.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 45% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.2% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.