Pistoiese vs Crema: prediction and stats
Serie D - Girone DGroup D - 19Kick-off on January 10, 2027 at 01:30 PM (UTC)Stadio Marcello Melani, Pistoia
The Footlab AI model makes Pistoiese the favourite at 80%, against 15% for a draw and 5% for Crema. The most likely score is 2-0.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.4% of the 2,800 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 19, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Pistoiese vs Crema?
Pistoiese is a heavy favourite: 1,954 Elo points against 1,643, a 311-point gap.
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Pistoiese vs Crema
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Pistoiese
Not enough data to predict the Pistoiese lineup.
Crema
Not enough data to predict the Crema lineup.
Computed on October 19, 2026 at 03:12 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Pistoiese have 9 wins, 3 draws and 3 defeats; Crema have 3, 4 and 8.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 18, 2026 | Pavia(home) | 1-0 | Serie D - Girone D |
| Oct 11, 2026 | Correggese(home) | 1-0 | Serie D - Girone D |
| Oct 7, 2026 | Sestri Levante(away) | 0-1 | Coppa Italia Serie D |
| Oct 4, 2026 | USD Casatese(away) | 3-0 | Serie D - Girone D |
| Sep 27, 2026 | Sant'Angelo(home) | 3-0 | Serie D - Girone D |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 18, 2026 | Pontedera(home) | 4-1 | Serie D - Girone D |
| Oct 11, 2026 | Coriano(away) | 0-0 | Serie D - Girone D |
| Oct 4, 2026 | Città di Varese(home) | 3-2 | Serie D - Girone D |
| Sep 27, 2026 | Castellanzese(away) | 0-4 | Serie D - Girone D |
| Sep 20, 2026 | Pro Sesto(home) | 0-3 | Serie D - Girone D |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 5 meetings: 3 Pistoiese wins, 2 draws, 0 Crema wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Sep 13, 2026 | Crema 1-3 Pistoiese | Serie D - Girone D |
| Apr 3, 2026 | Pistoiese 4-2 Crema | Serie D - Girone D |
| Nov 23, 2025 | Crema 1-1 Pistoiese | Serie D - Girone D |
| Jan 22, 2023 | Crema 0-1 Pistoiese | Serie D - Girone D |
| Sep 18, 2022 | Pistoiese 1-1 Crema | Serie D - Girone D |
How many goals should we expect?
Pistoiese score 1.7 and concede 0.5 goals per match over their last 15; Crema score 0.9 and concede 1.7. The model gives a 54% probability of over 2.5 goals and 34% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pistoiese | 1.7 | 0.5 | 10 | 3/15 | 6/15 |
| Crema | 0.9 | 1.7 | 5 | 6/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Pistoiese sit 1st in Serie D - Girone D (24 points from 8 matches) and Crema sit 12th (8 points from 8 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Pistoiese | 8 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 19 | 1 | 24 |
| 12 | Crema | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 8 | 15 | 8 |
A question about Pistoiese vs Crema?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Pistoiese vs Crema?
- The Footlab AI model makes Pistoiese the favourite at 80%, against 15% for a draw and 5% for Crema.
- Where and when is Pistoiese vs Crema played?
- Pistoiese vs Crema is played on January 10, 2027 at 01:30 PM (UTC) at Stadio Marcello Melani, in the Serie D - Girone D.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 54% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.4% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.