Probiy Horodenka vs Metal Kharkiv: prediction and stats
Persha LigaRegular Season - 17Kick-off on November 21, 2026 at 05:00 PM (UTC)Probiy-Arena, Horodenka
The Footlab model makes Metal Kharkiv the favourite at 38%, against 29% for a draw and 32% for Probiy Horodenka. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Probiy Horodenka vs Metal Kharkiv?
A very open match: only 31 Elo points separate Probiy Horodenka (1,603) and Metal Kharkiv (1,634).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Probiy Horodenka have 7 wins, 3 draws and 5 defeats; Metal Kharkiv have 7, 2 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 21, 2026 | Lokomotiv Kyiv(away) | 3-1 | Cup |
| Aug 14, 2026 | Prykarpattia(away) | 0-3 | Persha Liga |
| Aug 9, 2026 | Chernihiv(home) | 1-1 | Persha Liga |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Metal Kharkiv(away) | 1-3 | Persha Liga |
| Jul 26, 2026 | Inhulets(home) | 2-2 | Persha Liga |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Penuel(away) | 1-0 | Cup |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Oleksandria(home) | 0-2 | Persha Liga |
| Aug 9, 2026 | Polissya II(away) | 1-0 | Persha Liga |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Probiy Horodenka(home) | 3-1 | Persha Liga |
| Jul 26, 2026 | Kulykiv(away) | 1-2 | Persha Liga |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 3 meetings: 0 Probiy Horodenka win(s), 1 draw(s), 2 Metal Kharkiv win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Aug 1, 2026 | Metal Kharkiv 3-1 Probiy Horodenka | Persha Liga |
| Mar 22, 2026 | Probiy Horodenka 1-2 Metal Kharkiv | Persha Liga |
| Aug 30, 2025 | Metal Kharkiv 1-1 Probiy Horodenka | Persha Liga |
Last archived meeting: Metal Kharkiv vs Probiy Horodenka on Aug 1, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Probiy Horodenka score 1.3 and concede 1.2 goals per match over their last 15; Metal Kharkiv score 1.2 and concede 1.1. The model gives a 42% probability of over 2.5 goals and 49% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Probiy Horodenka | 1.3 | 1.2 | 6 | 6/15 | 8/15 |
| Metal Kharkiv | 1.2 | 1.1 | 4 | 7/15 | 7/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Probiy Horodenka sit 16th in Persha Liga (2 points from 4 matches) and Metal Kharkiv sit 7th (6 points from 4 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | Metal Kharkiv | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 5 | 6 |
| 16 | Probiy Horodenka | 4 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 9 | 2 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Probiy Horodenka vs Metal Kharkiv?
- The Footlab model makes Metal Kharkiv the favourite at 38%, against 29% for a draw and 32% for Probiy Horodenka.
- Where and when is Probiy Horodenka vs Metal Kharkiv played?
- Probiy Horodenka vs Metal Kharkiv is played on November 21, 2026 at 05:00 PM (UTC) at Probiy-Arena, in the Persha Liga.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 42% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.