Yarud Mariupol' vs Ahrobiznes Volochysk: prediction and stats
Persha LigaRegular Season - 17Kick-off on November 21, 2026 at 05:00 PM (UTC)Stadion SKIF, Lviv
The Footlab model makes Yarud Mariupol' the favourite at 37%, against 29% for a draw and 34% for Ahrobiznes Volochysk. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Yarud Mariupol' vs Ahrobiznes Volochysk?
A very open match: only 70 Elo points separate Yarud Mariupol' (1,606) and Ahrobiznes Volochysk (1,676).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Yarud Mariupol' have 5 wins, 6 draws and 4 defeats; Ahrobiznes Volochysk have 7, 4 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 20, 2026 | Dinaz Vyshhorod(away) | 6-0 | Cup |
| Aug 16, 2026 | Kolos Kovalivka II(home) | 3-1 | Persha Liga |
| Aug 9, 2026 | SK Poltava(home) | 0-3 | Persha Liga |
| Jul 31, 2026 | Ahrobiznes Volochysk(away) | 0-2 | Persha Liga |
| Jul 24, 2026 | Viktoriya Mykolaivka(home) | 0-1 | Persha Liga |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 21, 2026 | Rebel(away) | 4-0 | Cup |
| Aug 14, 2026 | Lokomotiv Kyiv(home) | 0-0 | Persha Liga |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Kolos Kovalivka II(away) | 2-1 | Persha Liga |
| Jul 31, 2026 | Yarud Mariupol'(home) | 2-0 | Persha Liga |
| Jul 25, 2026 | SK Poltava(home) | 0-3 | Persha Liga |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 5 meetings: 1 Yarud Mariupol' win(s), 2 draw(s), 2 Ahrobiznes Volochysk win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Jul 31, 2026 | Ahrobiznes Volochysk 2-0 Yarud Mariupol' | Persha Liga |
| May 1, 2026 | Yarud Mariupol' 4-0 Ahrobiznes Volochysk | Persha Liga |
| Oct 14, 2025 | Ahrobiznes Volochysk 1-0 Yarud Mariupol' | Persha Liga |
| May 24, 2024 | Yarud Mariupol' 1-1 Ahrobiznes Volochysk | Persha Liga |
| Apr 20, 2024 | Ahrobiznes Volochysk 1-1 Yarud Mariupol' | Persha Liga |
Last archived meeting: Ahrobiznes Volochysk vs Yarud Mariupol' on Jul 31, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Yarud Mariupol' score 1.5 and concede 0.9 goals per match over their last 15; Ahrobiznes Volochysk score 1.4 and concede 1.0. The model gives a 42% probability of over 2.5 goals and 49% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yarud Mariupol' | 1.5 | 0.9 | 6 | 6/15 | 6/15 |
| Ahrobiznes Volochysk | 1.4 | 1.0 | 7 | 5/15 | 7/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Yarud Mariupol' sit 13th in Persha Liga (3 points from 4 matches) and Ahrobiznes Volochysk sit 5th (7 points from 4 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | Ahrobiznes Volochysk | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 4 | 7 |
| 13 | Yarud Mariupol' | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 7 | 3 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Yarud Mariupol' vs Ahrobiznes Volochysk?
- The Footlab model makes Yarud Mariupol' the favourite at 37%, against 29% for a draw and 34% for Ahrobiznes Volochysk.
- Where and when is Yarud Mariupol' vs Ahrobiznes Volochysk played?
- Yarud Mariupol' vs Ahrobiznes Volochysk is played on November 21, 2026 at 05:00 PM (UTC) at Stadion SKIF, in the Persha Liga.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 42% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.