Progres Niederkorn vs Etzella Ettelbruck: prediction and stats
National DivisionRegular Season - 25Kick-off on April 18, 2027 at 02:00 PM (UTC)Stade Jos Haupert, Niedercorn
The Footlab AI model makes Progres Niederkorn the favourite at 63%, against 22% for a draw and 15% for Etzella Ettelbruck. The most likely score is 2-0.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.2% of the 2,979 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 22, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Progres Niederkorn vs Etzella Ettelbruck?
Progres Niederkorn starts as the favourite with a 246-point Elo edge (1,579 vs 1,333).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Progres Niederkorn vs Etzella Ettelbruck
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Progres Niederkorn
4-3-3- 19Y. Bouche
- 77K. Corral
- 71F. Hoxha
- 23Clayton Duarte
- 80K. Avdusinovic
- 10Omar Natami
- 28A. Guett Guett
- 11M. Gilgemann
- 14C. Sacras
- 27V. Peugnet
- 1S. Flauss
Etzella Ettelbruck
4-3-3- DD. da Mota
- FF. Kyereh
- LL. Rapaille
- TT. Hermandung
- SS. Kalisa
- LL. Figueiredo
- FF. Berisha
- LL. Nicolay
- PP. Moreira Bernardo
- YY. N'Gbin
- SS. Englaro
Computed on October 22, 2026 at 06:56 AM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Progres Niederkorn have 7 wins, 2 draws and 6 defeats; Etzella Ettelbruck have 5, 3 and 7.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 17, 2026 | UN Kaerjeng 97(home) | 1-2 | National Division |
| Oct 11, 2026 | US Hostert(away) | 2-0 | National Division |
| Sep 20, 2026 | Kopstal 33(away) | 7-0 | Cup |
| Sep 16, 2026 | Racing FC Union Luxembourg(home) | 0-0 | National Division |
| Sep 12, 2026 | Wiltz(away) | 2-1 | National Division |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 18, 2026 | AS Jeunesse Esch(away) | 0-1 | National Division |
| Oct 11, 2026 | F91 Dudelange(home) | 1-3 | National Division |
| Sep 20, 2026 | Schengen(away) | 1-0 | Cup |
| Sep 16, 2026 | Victoria Rosport(away) | 1-1 | National Division |
| Sep 12, 2026 | FC Differdange 03(away) | 0-1 | National Division |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 5 Progres Niederkorn wins, 1 draw, 0 Etzella Ettelbruck wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Apr 23, 2023 | Progres Niederkorn 3-1 Etzella Ettelbruck | National Division |
| Nov 13, 2022 | Etzella Ettelbruck 0-1 Progres Niederkorn | National Division |
| May 7, 2022 | Etzella Ettelbruck 1-1 Progres Niederkorn | National Division |
| Dec 4, 2021 | Progres Niederkorn 6-0 Etzella Ettelbruck | National Division |
| May 2, 2021 | Progres Niederkorn 3-1 Etzella Ettelbruck | National Division |
| Mar 10, 2021 | Etzella Ettelbruck 0-1 Progres Niederkorn | National Division |
Last archived meeting: Progres Niederkorn vs Etzella Ettelbruck on Apr 23, 2023
How many goals should we expect?
Progres Niederkorn score 1.9 and concede 1.4 goals per match over their last 15; Etzella Ettelbruck score 1.1 and concede 1.6. The model gives a 53% probability of over 2.5 goals and 49% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Progres Niederkorn | 1.9 | 1.4 | 6 | 8/15 | 10/15 |
| Etzella Ettelbruck | 1.1 | 1.6 | 2 | 8/15 | 7/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Progres Niederkorn sit 7th in National Division (19 points from 10 matches) and Etzella Ettelbruck sit 14th (5 points from 10 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | Progres Niederkorn | 10 | 6 | 1 | 3 | 16 | 7 | 19 |
| 14 | Etzella Ettelbruck | 10 | 1 | 2 | 7 | 7 | 19 | 5 |
A question about Progres Niederkorn vs Etzella Ettelbruck?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Progres Niederkorn vs Etzella Ettelbruck?
- The Footlab AI model makes Progres Niederkorn the favourite at 63%, against 22% for a draw and 15% for Etzella Ettelbruck.
- Where and when is Progres Niederkorn vs Etzella Ettelbruck played?
- Progres Niederkorn vs Etzella Ettelbruck is played on April 18, 2027 at 02:00 PM (UTC) at Stade Jos Haupert, in the National Division.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 53% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.2% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Apr 18, 2027F91 DudelangevsFC Differdange 03
- Apr 18, 2027US RumelangevsWiltz
- Apr 18, 2027AS Jeunesse EschvsSwift Hesperange
- Apr 18, 2027UNA StrassenvsUS Hostert
- Apr 18, 2027US Mondorf-les-bainsvsRacing FC Union Luxembourg
- Apr 18, 2027Atert BissenvsUN Kaerjeng 97
- Apr 18, 2027Résidence WalferdangevsVictoria Rosport