Progres Niederkorn vs Etzella Ettelbruck: prediction and stats
National DivisionRegular Season - 25Kick-off on April 18, 2027 at 02:00 PM (UTC)Stade Jos Haupert, Niedercorn
The Footlab model makes Progres Niederkorn the favourite at 53%, against 24% for a draw and 23% for Etzella Ettelbruck. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Progres Niederkorn vs Etzella Ettelbruck?
Progres Niederkorn starts as the favourite with a 234-point Elo edge (1,557 vs 1,323).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Progres Niederkorn have 5 wins, 3 draws and 7 defeats; Etzella Ettelbruck have 5, 4 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | UNA Strassen(home) | 0-1 | National Division |
| Aug 16, 2026 | Atert Bissen(away) | 4-0 | National Division |
| Aug 9, 2026 | Résidence Walferdange(away) | 1-0 | National Division |
| Aug 1, 2026 | AS Jeunesse Esch(home) | 2-1 | National Division |
| Jul 25, 2026 | Excelsior Virton(home) | 1-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | UN Kaerjeng 97(home) | 0-1 | National Division |
| Aug 16, 2026 | US Hostert(away) | 1-5 | National Division |
| Aug 9, 2026 | Racing FC Union Luxembourg(home) | 0-1 | National Division |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Wiltz(away) | 1-1 | National Division |
| Jul 26, 2026 | Jeunesse Canach(away) | 3-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 5 Progres Niederkorn win(s), 1 draw(s), 0 Etzella Ettelbruck win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Apr 23, 2023 | Progres Niederkorn 3-1 Etzella Ettelbruck | National Division |
| Nov 13, 2022 | Etzella Ettelbruck 0-1 Progres Niederkorn | National Division |
| May 7, 2022 | Etzella Ettelbruck 1-1 Progres Niederkorn | National Division |
| Dec 4, 2021 | Progres Niederkorn 6-0 Etzella Ettelbruck | National Division |
| May 2, 2021 | Progres Niederkorn 3-1 Etzella Ettelbruck | National Division |
| Mar 10, 2021 | Etzella Ettelbruck 0-1 Progres Niederkorn | National Division |
Last archived meeting: Progres Niederkorn vs Etzella Ettelbruck on Apr 23, 2023
How many goals should we expect?
Progres Niederkorn score 1.5 and concede 1.8 goals per match over their last 15; Etzella Ettelbruck score 1.7 and concede 1.9. The model gives a 57% probability of over 2.5 goals and 58% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Progres Niederkorn | 1.5 | 1.8 | 3 | 10/15 | 10/15 |
| Etzella Ettelbruck | 1.7 | 1.9 | 2 | 11/15 | 10/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Progres Niederkorn sit 3rd in National Division (9 points from 4 matches) and Etzella Ettelbruck sit 12th (1 points from 3 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Progres Niederkorn | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 2 | 9 |
| 4 | Progres Niederkorn | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 2 | 9 |
| 12 | Etzella Ettelbruck | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 7 | 1 |
| 14 | Etzella Ettelbruck | 4 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 8 | 1 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Progres Niederkorn vs Etzella Ettelbruck?
- The Footlab model makes Progres Niederkorn the favourite at 53%, against 24% for a draw and 23% for Etzella Ettelbruck.
- Where and when is Progres Niederkorn vs Etzella Ettelbruck played?
- Progres Niederkorn vs Etzella Ettelbruck is played on April 18, 2027 at 02:00 PM (UTC) at Stade Jos Haupert, in the National Division.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 57% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Apr 18, 2027F91 DudelangevsFC Differdange 03
- Apr 18, 2027US RumelangevsWiltz
- Apr 18, 2027AS Jeunesse EschvsSwift Hesperange
- Apr 18, 2027UNA StrassenvsUS Hostert
- Apr 18, 2027US Mondorf-les-bainsvsRacing FC Union Luxembourg
- Apr 18, 2027Atert BissenvsUN Kaerjeng 97
- Apr 18, 2027Résidence WalferdangevsVictoria Rosport