Match

Etzella Ettelbruck vs Progres Niederkorn: prediction and stats

National DivisionRegular Season - 11Kick-off on October 25, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Centre Sportif du Deich, Ettelbrück

Etzella EttelbruckProgres Niederkorn

The Footlab AI model makes Progres Niederkorn the favourite at 70%, against 20% for a draw and 10% for Etzella Ettelbruck. The most likely score is 0-2.

Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.6% of the 2,402 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Oct 15, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Etzella Ettelbruck vs Progres Niederkorn?

Progres Niederkorn starts as the favourite with a 255-point Elo edge (1,592 vs 1,337).

10%20%70%
Etzella Ettelbruck winDrawProgres Niederkorn win

Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.

See the probabilities after AI analysisThe AI adds press reports and last-minute absences, in the Footlab AI app. Sign-in required.

Probable lineup for Etzella Ettelbruck vs Progres Niederkorn

Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.

Etzella Ettelbruck

4-3-3
  1. DD. da Mota
  2. FF. Kyereh
  3. LL. Rapaille
  1. TT. Hermandung
  2. SS. Kalisa
  3. LL. Figueiredo
  1. FF. Berisha
  2. LL. Nicolay
  3. PP. Moreira Bernardo
  4. YY. N'Gbin
  1. SS. Englaro

Progres Niederkorn

4-3-3
  1. 19Y. Bouche
  2. 77K. Corral
  3. 71F. Hoxha
  1. 23Clayton Duarte
  2. 80K. Avdusinovic
  3. 10Omar Natami
  1. 28A. Guett Guett
  2. 11M. Gilgemann
  3. 14C. Sacras
  4. 27V. Peugnet
  1. 1S. Flauss

Computed on October 15, 2026 at 02:17 PM (UTC).

See the lineup updated by the AIPress reports and last-minute absences, in the Footlab AI app. Sign-in required.

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Etzella Ettelbruck have 5 wins, 4 draws and 6 defeats; Progres Niederkorn have 7, 2 and 6.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Etzella Ettelbruck
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Oct 11, 2026F91 Dudelange(home)1-3National Division
Sep 20, 2026Schengen(away)1-0Cup
Sep 16, 2026Victoria Rosport(away)1-1National Division
Sep 12, 2026FC Differdange 03(away)0-1National Division
Sep 6, 2026Swift Hesperange(away)3-0National Division
Progres Niederkorn
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Oct 11, 2026US Hostert(away)2-0National Division
Sep 20, 2026Kopstal 33(away)7-0Cup
Sep 16, 2026Racing FC Union Luxembourg(home)0-0National Division
Sep 12, 2026Wiltz(away)2-1National Division
Sep 6, 2026US Rumelange(home)3-0National Division

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 6 meetings: 0 Etzella Ettelbruck wins, 1 draw, 5 Progres Niederkorn wins.

DateScoreCompetition
Apr 23, 2023Progres Niederkorn 3-1 Etzella EttelbruckNational Division
Nov 13, 2022Etzella Ettelbruck 0-1 Progres NiederkornNational Division
May 7, 2022Etzella Ettelbruck 1-1 Progres NiederkornNational Division
Dec 4, 2021Progres Niederkorn 6-0 Etzella EttelbruckNational Division
May 2, 2021Progres Niederkorn 3-1 Etzella EttelbruckNational Division
Mar 10, 2021Etzella Ettelbruck 0-1 Progres NiederkornNational Division

Last archived meeting: Progres Niederkorn vs Etzella Ettelbruck on Apr 23, 2023

How many goals should we expect?

Etzella Ettelbruck score 1.3 and concede 1.7 goals per match over their last 15; Progres Niederkorn score 1.9 and concede 1.4. The model gives a 54% probability of over 2.5 goals and 45% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Etzella Ettelbruck1.31.729/158/15
Progres Niederkorn1.91.468/1510/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Etzella Ettelbruck sit 14th in National Division (5 points from 9 matches) and Progres Niederkorn sit 4th (19 points from 9 matches).

2026-27 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
4Progres Niederkorn961215519
14Etzella Ettelbruck91267185

A question about Etzella Ettelbruck vs Progres Niederkorn?

Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.

Ask the AI a questionOpen the full match card in the app

Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Etzella Ettelbruck vs Progres Niederkorn?
The Footlab AI model makes Progres Niederkorn the favourite at 70%, against 20% for a draw and 10% for Etzella Ettelbruck.
Where and when is Etzella Ettelbruck vs Progres Niederkorn played?
Etzella Ettelbruck vs Progres Niederkorn is played on October 25, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Centre Sportif du Deich, in the National Division.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab AI model gives a 54% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.6% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.

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Next match: Etzella Ettelbruck and Progres Niederkorn

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