US Rumelange vs Wiltz: prediction and stats
National DivisionRegular Season - 25Kick-off on April 18, 2027 at 02:00 PM (UTC)Stade Municipal, Rumelange
The Footlab model makes US Rumelange the favourite at 40%, against 24% for a draw and 35% for Wiltz. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win US Rumelange vs Wiltz?
Wiltz starts as the favourite with a 128-point Elo edge (1,434 vs 1,306).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, US Rumelange have 6 wins, 2 draws and 7 defeats; Wiltz have 4, 4 and 7.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | F91 Dudelange(away) | 2-3 | National Division |
| Aug 16, 2026 | Victoria Rosport(home) | 3-2 | National Division |
| Aug 9, 2026 | FC Differdange 03(away) | 0-2 | National Division |
| Aug 2, 2026 | Swift Hesperange(home) | 1-0 | National Division |
| Jan 25, 2026 | Pirmasens(away) | 3-2 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Victoria Rosport(away) | 0-4 | National Division |
| Aug 15, 2026 | FC Differdange 03(home) | 1-2 | National Division |
| Aug 9, 2026 | Swift Hesperange(away) | 7-2 | National Division |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Etzella Ettelbruck(home) | 1-1 | National Division |
| Jul 25, 2026 | AS Eupen(home) | 0-9 | Friendlies Clubs |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 4 US Rumelange win(s), 2 draw(s), 0 Wiltz win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Feb 21, 2016 | Wiltz 0-1 US Rumelange | National Division |
| Aug 9, 2015 | US Rumelange 1-1 Wiltz | National Division |
| Mar 8, 2015 | US Rumelange 4-0 Wiltz | National Division |
| Aug 22, 2014 | Wiltz 0-1 US Rumelange | National Division |
| Mar 9, 2014 | Wiltz 4-4 US Rumelange | National Division |
| Aug 18, 2013 | US Rumelange 1-0 Wiltz | National Division |
Last archived meeting: Wiltz vs US Rumelange on Feb 21, 2016
How many goals should we expect?
US Rumelange score 2.1 and concede 2.4 goals per match over their last 15; Wiltz score 1.9 and concede 2.4. The model gives a 63% probability of over 2.5 goals and 65% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| US Rumelange | 2.1 | 2.4 | 3 | 9/15 | 13/15 |
| Wiltz | 1.9 | 2.4 | 2 | 8/15 | 11/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
US Rumelange sit 7th in National Division (6 points from 3 matches) and Wiltz sit 9th (4 points from 3 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | US Rumelange | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 4 | 6 |
| 9 | US Rumelange | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 7 | 6 |
| 9 | Wiltz | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 9 | 5 | 4 |
| 11 | Wiltz | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 9 | 9 | 4 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for US Rumelange vs Wiltz?
- The Footlab model makes US Rumelange the favourite at 40%, against 24% for a draw and 35% for Wiltz.
- Where and when is US Rumelange vs Wiltz played?
- US Rumelange vs Wiltz is played on April 18, 2027 at 02:00 PM (UTC) at Stade Municipal, in the National Division.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 63% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Apr 18, 2027F91 DudelangevsFC Differdange 03
- Apr 18, 2027Progres NiederkornvsEtzella Ettelbruck
- Apr 18, 2027AS Jeunesse EschvsSwift Hesperange
- Apr 18, 2027UNA StrassenvsUS Hostert
- Apr 18, 2027US Mondorf-les-bainsvsRacing FC Union Luxembourg
- Apr 18, 2027Atert BissenvsUN Kaerjeng 97
- Apr 18, 2027Résidence WalferdangevsVictoria Rosport