Progres Niederkorn vs Racing FC Union Luxembourg: prediction and stats
National DivisionRegular Season - 8Kick-off on September 16, 2026 at 06:00 PM (UTC)Stade Jos Haupert, Niedercorn
The Footlab model makes Racing FC Union Luxembourg the favourite at 41%, against 25% for a draw and 34% for Progres Niederkorn. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Progres Niederkorn vs Racing FC Union Luxembourg?
A very open match: only 8 Elo points separate Progres Niederkorn (1,557) and Racing FC Union Luxembourg (1,565).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Progres Niederkorn have 5 wins, 3 draws and 7 defeats; Racing FC Union Luxembourg have 6, 3 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | UNA Strassen(home) | 0-1 | National Division |
| Aug 16, 2026 | Atert Bissen(away) | 4-0 | National Division |
| Aug 9, 2026 | Résidence Walferdange(away) | 1-0 | National Division |
| Aug 1, 2026 | AS Jeunesse Esch(home) | 2-1 | National Division |
| Jul 25, 2026 | Excelsior Virton(home) | 1-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | FC Differdange 03(away) | 0-3 | National Division |
| Aug 16, 2026 | Swift Hesperange(home) | 5-0 | National Division |
| Aug 9, 2026 | Etzella Ettelbruck(away) | 1-0 | National Division |
| Aug 2, 2026 | UN Kaerjeng 97(home) | 5-1 | National Division |
| Jul 18, 2026 | MVV(away) | 0-0 | Friendlies Clubs |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 2 Progres Niederkorn win(s), 3 draw(s), 1 Racing FC Union Luxembourg win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Apr 18, 2026 | Racing FC Union Luxembourg 2-2 Progres Niederkorn | National Division |
| Oct 25, 2025 | Progres Niederkorn 1-3 Racing FC Union Luxembourg | National Division |
| Mar 29, 2025 | Racing FC Union Luxembourg 1-3 Progres Niederkorn | National Division |
| Oct 30, 2024 | Progres Niederkorn 1-1 Racing FC Union Luxembourg | National Division |
| Apr 14, 2024 | Progres Niederkorn 2-1 Racing FC Union Luxembourg | National Division |
| Oct 22, 2023 | Racing FC Union Luxembourg 3-3 Progres Niederkorn | National Division |
Last archived meeting: Racing FC Union Luxembourg vs Progres Niederkorn on Apr 18, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Progres Niederkorn score 1.5 and concede 1.8 goals per match over their last 15; Racing FC Union Luxembourg score 1.9 and concede 1.5. The model gives a 60% probability of over 2.5 goals and 62% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Progres Niederkorn | 1.5 | 1.8 | 3 | 10/15 | 10/15 |
| Racing FC Union Luxembourg | 1.9 | 1.5 | 5 | 6/15 | 9/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Progres Niederkorn sit 3rd in National Division (9 points from 4 matches) and Racing FC Union Luxembourg sit 2nd (9 points from 3 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Racing FC Union Luxembourg | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 11 | 1 | 9 |
| 3 | Progres Niederkorn | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 2 | 9 |
| 4 | Progres Niederkorn | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 2 | 9 |
| 5 | Racing FC Union Luxembourg | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 11 | 4 | 9 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Progres Niederkorn vs Racing FC Union Luxembourg?
- The Footlab model makes Racing FC Union Luxembourg the favourite at 41%, against 25% for a draw and 34% for Progres Niederkorn.
- Where and when is Progres Niederkorn vs Racing FC Union Luxembourg played?
- Progres Niederkorn vs Racing FC Union Luxembourg is played on September 16, 2026 at 06:00 PM (UTC) at Stade Jos Haupert, in the National Division.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 60% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Sep 16, 2026F91 DudelangevsUN Kaerjeng 97
- Sep 16, 2026FC Differdange 03vsSwift Hesperange
- Sep 16, 2026AS Jeunesse EschvsUS Hostert
- Sep 16, 2026UNA StrassenvsUS Rumelange
- Sep 16, 2026Victoria RosportvsEtzella Ettelbruck
- Sep 16, 2026Atert BissenvsWiltz
- Sep 16, 2026Résidence WalferdangevsUS Mondorf-les-bains