Progres Niederkorn vs Victoria Rosport: prediction and stats
National DivisionRegular Season - 14Kick-off on November 29, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Stade Jos Haupert, Niedercorn
The Footlab model makes Progres Niederkorn the favourite at 61%, against 22% for a draw and 18% for Victoria Rosport. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Progres Niederkorn vs Victoria Rosport?
Progres Niederkorn starts as the favourite with a 123-point Elo edge (1,557 vs 1,434).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Progres Niederkorn have 5 wins, 3 draws and 7 defeats; Victoria Rosport have 5, 1 and 9.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | UNA Strassen(home) | 0-1 | National Division |
| Aug 16, 2026 | Atert Bissen(away) | 4-0 | National Division |
| Aug 9, 2026 | Résidence Walferdange(away) | 1-0 | National Division |
| Aug 1, 2026 | AS Jeunesse Esch(home) | 2-1 | National Division |
| Jul 25, 2026 | Excelsior Virton(home) | 1-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Wiltz(home) | 4-0 | National Division |
| Aug 16, 2026 | US Rumelange(away) | 2-3 | National Division |
| Aug 9, 2026 | US Mondorf-les-bains(home) | 2-3 | National Division |
| Aug 4, 2026 | UNA Strassen(away) | 0-4 | National Division |
| May 29, 2026 | FC Differdange 03(away) | 1-4 | Cup |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 1 Progres Niederkorn win(s), 2 draw(s), 3 Victoria Rosport win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| May 13, 2026 | Progres Niederkorn 2-2 Victoria Rosport | Cup |
| Feb 22, 2026 | Victoria Rosport 2-1 Progres Niederkorn | National Division |
| Aug 24, 2025 | Progres Niederkorn 0-1 Victoria Rosport | National Division |
| Feb 23, 2025 | Victoria Rosport 0-0 Progres Niederkorn | National Division |
| Aug 25, 2024 | Progres Niederkorn 2-1 Victoria Rosport | National Division |
| Mar 10, 2024 | Victoria Rosport 3-1 Progres Niederkorn | National Division |
Last archived meeting: Progres Niederkorn vs Victoria Rosport on May 13, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Progres Niederkorn score 1.5 and concede 1.8 goals per match over their last 15; Victoria Rosport score 1.5 and concede 2.3. The model gives a 61% probability of over 2.5 goals and 58% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Progres Niederkorn | 1.5 | 1.8 | 3 | 10/15 | 10/15 |
| Victoria Rosport | 1.5 | 2.3 | 2 | 10/15 | 14/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Progres Niederkorn sit 3rd in National Division (9 points from 4 matches) and Victoria Rosport sit 15th (0 points from 3 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Progres Niederkorn | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 2 | 9 |
| 4 | Progres Niederkorn | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 2 | 9 |
| 12 | Victoria Rosport | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 8 | 10 | 3 |
| 15 | Victoria Rosport | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 4 | 10 | 0 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Progres Niederkorn vs Victoria Rosport?
- The Footlab model makes Progres Niederkorn the favourite at 61%, against 22% for a draw and 18% for Victoria Rosport.
- Where and when is Progres Niederkorn vs Victoria Rosport played?
- Progres Niederkorn vs Victoria Rosport is played on November 29, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Stade Jos Haupert, in the National Division.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 61% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Nov 29, 2026US RumelangevsUN Kaerjeng 97
- Nov 29, 2026AS Jeunesse EschvsF91 Dudelange
- Nov 29, 2026UNA StrassenvsSwift Hesperange
- Nov 29, 2026US Mondorf-les-bainsvsEtzella Ettelbruck
- Nov 29, 2026WiltzvsUS Hostert
- Nov 29, 2026Atert BissenvsFC Differdange 03
- Nov 29, 2026Résidence WalferdangevsRacing FC Union Luxembourg