Résidence Walferdange vs US Mondorf-les-bains: prediction and stats
National DivisionRegular Season - 8Kick-off on September 16, 2026 at 06:00 PM (UTC)Stade Op Der Thonn, Helmsange
The Footlab model makes US Mondorf-les-bains the favourite at 59%, against 23% for a draw and 19% for Résidence Walferdange. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Résidence Walferdange vs US Mondorf-les-bains?
US Mondorf-les-bains is a heavy favourite: 1,656 Elo points against 1,353, a 304-point gap.
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Résidence Walferdange have 6 wins, 1 draws and 8 defeats; US Mondorf-les-bains have 8, 4 and 3.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Atert Bissen(home) | 1-2 | National Division |
| Aug 16, 2026 | UN Kaerjeng 97(away) | 2-1 | National Division |
| Aug 9, 2026 | Progres Niederkorn(home) | 0-1 | National Division |
| Aug 2, 2026 | US Hostert(home) | 3-2 | National Division |
| Jun 1, 2026 | Jeunesse Canach(away) | 1-1 | National Division |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | AS Jeunesse Esch(away) | 3-1 | National Division |
| Aug 16, 2026 | F91 Dudelange(home) | 1-0 | National Division |
| Aug 9, 2026 | Victoria Rosport(away) | 3-2 | National Division |
| Aug 2, 2026 | FC Differdange 03(home) | 3-2 | National Division |
| Jul 16, 2026 | Dinamo Tbilisi(away) | 1-1 | UEFA Europa Conference League |
How many goals should we expect?
Résidence Walferdange score 1.9 and concede 1.7 goals per match over their last 15; US Mondorf-les-bains score 1.6 and concede 1.1. The model gives a 58% probability of over 2.5 goals and 56% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Résidence Walferdange | 1.9 | 1.7 | 1 | 11/15 | 11/15 |
| US Mondorf-les-bains | 1.6 | 1.1 | 5 | 9/15 | 7/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Résidence Walferdange sit 6th in National Division (6 points from 3 matches) and US Mondorf-les-bains sit 4th (9 points from 3 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | US Mondorf-les-bains | 4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 10 | 5 | 12 |
| 4 | US Mondorf-les-bains | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 4 | 9 |
| 6 | Résidence Walferdange | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 4 | 6 |
| 8 | Résidence Walferdange | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 6 | 6 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Résidence Walferdange vs US Mondorf-les-bains?
- The Footlab model makes US Mondorf-les-bains the favourite at 59%, against 23% for a draw and 19% for Résidence Walferdange.
- Where and when is Résidence Walferdange vs US Mondorf-les-bains played?
- Résidence Walferdange vs US Mondorf-les-bains is played on September 16, 2026 at 06:00 PM (UTC) at Stade Op Der Thonn, in the National Division.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 58% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Sep 16, 2026F91 DudelangevsUN Kaerjeng 97
- Sep 16, 2026Progres NiederkornvsRacing FC Union Luxembourg
- Sep 16, 2026FC Differdange 03vsSwift Hesperange
- Sep 16, 2026AS Jeunesse EschvsUS Hostert
- Sep 16, 2026UNA StrassenvsUS Rumelange
- Sep 16, 2026Victoria RosportvsEtzella Ettelbruck
- Sep 16, 2026Atert BissenvsWiltz