FC Differdange 03 vs Swift Hesperange: prediction and stats
National DivisionRegular Season - 8Kick-off on September 16, 2026 at 06:00 PM (UTC)Stade Parc des Sports, Differdange
The Footlab model makes FC Differdange 03 the favourite at 83%, against 13% for a draw and 4% for Swift Hesperange. The most likely score is 2-0.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win FC Differdange 03 vs Swift Hesperange?
FC Differdange 03 is a heavy favourite: 1,762 Elo points against 1,413 — a 349-point gap.
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, FC Differdange 03 have 9 wins, 3 draws and 3 defeats; Swift Hesperange have 3, 1 and 11.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Racing FC Union Luxembourg(home) | 3-0 | National Division |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Wiltz(away) | 2-1 | National Division |
| Aug 9, 2026 | US Rumelange(home) | 2-0 | National Division |
| Aug 2, 2026 | US Mondorf-les-bains(away) | 2-3 | National Division |
| Jul 16, 2026 | Ilves(away) | 1-3 | UEFA Europa Conference League |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | US Hostert(home) | 0-2 | National Division |
| Aug 16, 2026 | Racing FC Union Luxembourg(away) | 0-5 | National Division |
| Aug 9, 2026 | Wiltz(home) | 2-7 | National Division |
| Aug 2, 2026 | US Rumelange(away) | 0-1 | National Division |
| May 23, 2026 | Union Titus Petange(away) | 3-2 | National Division |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 4 FC Differdange 03 win(s), 2 draw(s), 0 Swift Hesperange win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Apr 12, 2026 | Swift Hesperange 1-5 FC Differdange 03 | National Division |
| Oct 19, 2025 | FC Differdange 03 3-0 Swift Hesperange | National Division |
| Mar 16, 2025 | Swift Hesperange 0-2 FC Differdange 03 | National Division |
| Sep 22, 2024 | FC Differdange 03 0-0 Swift Hesperange | National Division |
| Apr 20, 2024 | FC Differdange 03 2-0 Swift Hesperange | National Division |
| Nov 5, 2023 | Swift Hesperange 1-1 FC Differdange 03 | National Division |
Last archived meeting: Swift Hesperange vs FC Differdange 03 on Apr 12, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
FC Differdange 03 score 1.7 and concede 0.9 goals per match over their last 15; Swift Hesperange score 0.8 and concede 2.1. The model gives a 61% probability of over 2.5 goals and 36% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| FC Differdange 03 | 1.7 | 0.9 | 7 | 7/15 | 7/15 |
| Swift Hesperange | 0.8 | 2.1 | 2 | 4/15 | 6/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
FC Differdange 03 sit 5th in National Division (6 points from 3 matches) and Swift Hesperange sit 16th (0 points from 3 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | FC Differdange 03 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 4 | 9 |
| 5 | FC Differdange 03 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 4 | 6 |
| 16 | Swift Hesperange | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 13 | 0 |
| 16 | Swift Hesperange | 4 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 2 | 15 | 0 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for FC Differdange 03 vs Swift Hesperange?
- The Footlab model makes FC Differdange 03 the favourite at 83%, against 13% for a draw and 4% for Swift Hesperange.
- Where and when is FC Differdange 03 vs Swift Hesperange played?
- FC Differdange 03 vs Swift Hesperange is played on September 16, 2026 at 06:00 PM (UTC) at Stade Parc des Sports, in the National Division.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 61% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Sep 16, 2026F91 DudelangevsUN Kaerjeng 97
- Sep 16, 2026Progres NiederkornvsRacing FC Union Luxembourg
- Sep 16, 2026AS Jeunesse EschvsUS Hostert
- Sep 16, 2026UNA StrassenvsUS Rumelange
- Sep 16, 2026Victoria RosportvsEtzella Ettelbruck
- Sep 16, 2026Atert BissenvsWiltz
- Sep 16, 2026Résidence WalferdangevsUS Mondorf-les-bains