Racing FC Union Luxembourg vs Progres Niederkorn: prediction and stats
National DivisionRegular Season - 22Kick-off on March 21, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Stade Achille Hammerel, Luxembourg
The Footlab model makes Racing FC Union Luxembourg the favourite at 46%, against 25% for a draw and 29% for Progres Niederkorn. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Racing FC Union Luxembourg vs Progres Niederkorn?
A very open match: only 8 Elo points separate Racing FC Union Luxembourg (1,565) and Progres Niederkorn (1,557).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Racing FC Union Luxembourg have 6 wins, 3 draws and 6 defeats; Progres Niederkorn have 5, 3 and 7.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | FC Differdange 03(away) | 0-3 | National Division |
| Aug 16, 2026 | Swift Hesperange(home) | 5-0 | National Division |
| Aug 9, 2026 | Etzella Ettelbruck(away) | 1-0 | National Division |
| Aug 2, 2026 | UN Kaerjeng 97(home) | 5-1 | National Division |
| Jul 18, 2026 | MVV(away) | 0-0 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | UNA Strassen(home) | 0-1 | National Division |
| Aug 16, 2026 | Atert Bissen(away) | 4-0 | National Division |
| Aug 9, 2026 | Résidence Walferdange(away) | 1-0 | National Division |
| Aug 1, 2026 | AS Jeunesse Esch(home) | 2-1 | National Division |
| Jul 25, 2026 | Excelsior Virton(home) | 1-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 1 Racing FC Union Luxembourg win(s), 3 draw(s), 2 Progres Niederkorn win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Apr 18, 2026 | Racing FC Union Luxembourg 2-2 Progres Niederkorn | National Division |
| Oct 25, 2025 | Progres Niederkorn 1-3 Racing FC Union Luxembourg | National Division |
| Mar 29, 2025 | Racing FC Union Luxembourg 1-3 Progres Niederkorn | National Division |
| Oct 30, 2024 | Progres Niederkorn 1-1 Racing FC Union Luxembourg | National Division |
| Apr 14, 2024 | Progres Niederkorn 2-1 Racing FC Union Luxembourg | National Division |
| Oct 22, 2023 | Racing FC Union Luxembourg 3-3 Progres Niederkorn | National Division |
Last archived meeting: Racing FC Union Luxembourg vs Progres Niederkorn on Apr 18, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Racing FC Union Luxembourg score 1.9 and concede 1.5 goals per match over their last 15; Progres Niederkorn score 1.5 and concede 1.8. The model gives a 58% probability of over 2.5 goals and 60% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Racing FC Union Luxembourg | 1.9 | 1.5 | 5 | 6/15 | 9/15 |
| Progres Niederkorn | 1.5 | 1.8 | 3 | 10/15 | 10/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Racing FC Union Luxembourg sit 2nd in National Division (9 points from 3 matches) and Progres Niederkorn sit 3rd (9 points from 4 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Racing FC Union Luxembourg | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 11 | 1 | 9 |
| 3 | Progres Niederkorn | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 2 | 9 |
| 4 | Progres Niederkorn | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 2 | 9 |
| 5 | Racing FC Union Luxembourg | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 11 | 4 | 9 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Racing FC Union Luxembourg vs Progres Niederkorn?
- The Footlab model makes Racing FC Union Luxembourg the favourite at 46%, against 25% for a draw and 29% for Progres Niederkorn.
- Where and when is Racing FC Union Luxembourg vs Progres Niederkorn played?
- Racing FC Union Luxembourg vs Progres Niederkorn is played on March 21, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Stade Achille Hammerel, in the National Division.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 58% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Mar 21, 2027US RumelangevsUNA Strassen
- Mar 21, 2027UN Kaerjeng 97vsF91 Dudelange
- Mar 21, 2027US Mondorf-les-bainsvsRésidence Walferdange
- Mar 21, 2027US HostertvsAS Jeunesse Esch
- Mar 21, 2027Etzella EttelbruckvsVictoria Rosport
- Mar 21, 2027WiltzvsAtert Bissen
- Mar 21, 2027Swift HesperangevsFC Differdange 03