Progreso vs Danubio: result 1-0 and analysis
Primera DivisiónApertura - 7Kick-off on August 22, 2020 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Parque Abraham Paladino, Montevideo
Full time
What was the result of Progreso vs Danubio?
Progreso won 1-0 on August 22, 2020.
Goalscorers
- 20′J. GottesmanProgreso
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Progreso have 5 wins, 5 draws and 5 defeats; Danubio have 3, 3 and 9.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 19, 2020 | Defensor Sporting(away) | 1-2 | Primera División |
| Aug 16, 2020 | Cerro(home) | 2-0 | Primera División |
| Aug 8, 2020 | Fenix(away) | 1-1 | Primera División |
| Mar 8, 2020 | Liverpool Montevideo(away) | 1-1 | Primera División |
| Feb 23, 2020 | Plaza Colonia(home) | 2-2 | Primera División |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 19, 2020 | Plaza Colonia(home) | 0-1 | Primera División |
| Aug 14, 2020 | Atletico Torque(away) | 2-1 | Primera División |
| Aug 8, 2020 | CA River Plate(home) | 1-3 | Primera División |
| Mar 8, 2020 | Penarol(away) | 1-1 | Primera División |
| Feb 23, 2020 | Wanderers(home) | 0-1 | Primera División |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 3 Progreso win(s), 2 draw(s), 1 Danubio win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Oct 19, 2019 | Progreso 2-1 Danubio | Primera División - Clausura |
| Aug 11, 2019 | Progreso 2-0 Danubio | Primera División - Clausura |
| Mar 31, 2019 | Danubio 3-2 Progreso | Primera División |
| Jul 22, 2018 | Danubio 2-2 Progreso | Primera División - Clausura |
| Feb 4, 2018 | Progreso 1-1 Danubio | Primera División |
| Mar 2, 2013 | Progreso 1-0 Danubio | Primera División - Clausura |
How many goals should we expect?
Progreso score 1.3 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; Danubio score 0.9 and concede 1.5.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Progreso | 1.3 | 1.3 | 2 | 10/15 | 7/15 |
| Danubio | 0.9 | 1.5 | 1 | 10/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Progreso sit 15th in Primera División (10 points from 15 matches) and Danubio sit 11th (18 points from 15 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | Progreso | 7 | 2 | 0 | 5 | 6 | 11 | 6 |
| 8 | Danubio | 7 | 0 | 4 | 3 | 5 | 9 | 4 |
| 11 | Danubio | 15 | 4 | 6 | 5 | 17 | 21 | 18 |
| 12 | Danubio | 3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 |
| 15 | Danubio | 62 | 14 | 25 | 23 | 63 | 72 | 67 |
| 15 | Danubio | 25 | 4 | 12 | 9 | 22 | 31 | 24 |
| 15 | Progreso | 15 | 2 | 4 | 9 | 12 | 23 | 10 |
| 16 | Progreso | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 0 |
| 16 | Progreso | 61 | 14 | 13 | 34 | 56 | 97 | 55 |
| 16 | Progreso | 24 | 4 | 4 | 16 | 18 | 37 | 16 |
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy