Progress / AFA Olaine vs Mārupe: result 5-1 and analysis
1. LigaRegular Season - 21Kick-off on September 29, 2024 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Olaines stadions, Olaine
Full time
What was the result of Progress / AFA Olaine vs Mārupe?
Progress / AFA Olaine won 5-1 on September 29, 2024.
Goalscorers
- 17′?Progress / AFA Olaine (pen.)
- 31′?Progress / AFA Olaine
- 39′?Progress / AFA Olaine
- 61′?Mārupe
- 69′?Progress / AFA Olaine
- 84′?Progress / AFA Olaine
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Progress / AFA Olaine have 6 wins, 2 draws and 7 defeats; Mārupe have 8, 3 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 21, 2024 | Smiltene(away) | 4-0 | 1. Liga |
| Sep 14, 2024 | Rēzekne FA(home) | 5-0 | 1. Liga |
| Sep 1, 2024 | Valmiera II(home) | 0-0 | 1. Liga |
| Aug 17, 2024 | FK Liepaja(away) | 0-1 | Cup |
| Aug 10, 2024 | Rīgas FS II(away) | 1-3 | 1. Liga |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 22, 2024 | Valmiera II(home) | 2-1 | 1. Liga |
| Sep 15, 2024 | JFK Ventspils(away) | 3-2 | 1. Liga |
| Sep 7, 2024 | Leevon / PPK(home) | 1-0 | 1. Liga |
| Aug 31, 2024 | Tukums II(home) | 2-1 | 1. Liga |
| Aug 24, 2024 | Rīgas FS II(away) | 1-3 | 1. Liga |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 1 meetings: 0 Progress / AFA Olaine win(s), 0 draw(s), 1 Mārupe win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| May 25, 2024 | Mārupe 2-1 Progress / AFA Olaine | 1. Liga |
Last archived meeting: Mārupe vs Progress / AFA Olaine on May 25, 2024
How many goals should we expect?
Progress / AFA Olaine score 2.1 and concede 1.7 goals per match over their last 15; Mārupe score 1.7 and concede 1.7.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Progress / AFA Olaine | 2.1 | 1.7 | 4 | 9/15 | 12/15 |
| Mārupe | 1.7 | 1.7 | 4 | 9/15 | 9/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | Mārupe | 10 | 5 | 1 | 4 | 20 | 12 | 16 |
| 6 | Mārupe | 18 | 8 | 1 | 9 | 29 | 30 | 25 |
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy