Progress / AFA Olaine vs Ogre United: result 3-3 and analysis
1. LigaRegular Season - 9Kick-off on June 16, 2024 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Olaines stadions, Olaine
Full time
What was the result of Progress / AFA Olaine vs Ogre United?
Progress / AFA Olaine and Ogre United drew 3-3 on June 16, 2024.
Goalscorers
- 33′?Ogre United
- 58′Jānis JēkabsonsOgre United
- 77′?Progress / AFA Olaine
- 82′?Progress / AFA Olaine
- 86′?Ogre United
- 90′?Progress / AFA Olaine
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Progress / AFA Olaine have 2 wins, 6 draws and 7 defeats; Ogre United have 3, 3 and 7.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jun 2, 2024 | Aliance(home) | 3-0 | Cup |
| May 25, 2024 | Mārupe(away) | 1-2 | 1. Liga |
| May 18, 2024 | Smiltene(home) | 1-1 | 1. Liga |
| May 12, 2024 | Rēzekne FA(away) | 2-1 | 1. Liga |
| May 4, 2024 | Valmiera II(away) | 2-3 | 1. Liga |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jun 1, 2024 | Mārupe(home) | 2-7 | Cup |
| May 26, 2024 | Valmiera II(home) | 4-0 | 1. Liga |
| May 19, 2024 | JFK Ventspils(away) | 0-2 | 1. Liga |
| May 11, 2024 | Tukums II(home) | 1-0 | 1. Liga |
| May 4, 2024 | Rīgas FS II(away) | 0-5 | 1. Liga |
How many goals should we expect?
Progress / AFA Olaine score 1.5 and concede 2.5 goals per match over their last 15; Ogre United score 1.2 and concede 1.9.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Progress / AFA Olaine | 1.5 | 2.5 | 2 | 12/15 | 10/15 |
| Ogre United | 1.2 | 1.9 | 4 | 5/13 | 7/13 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Progress / AFA Olaine sit 13th in 1. Liga (22 points from 26 matches) and Ogre United sit 1st (58 points from 26 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Ogre United | 26 | 18 | 4 | 4 | 66 | 20 | 58 |
| 13 | Progress / AFA Olaine | 26 | 6 | 4 | 16 | 39 | 88 | 22 |
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy