Grobiņa vs Ogre United: prediction and stats
VirsligaRegular Season - 33Kick-off on October 17, 2026 at 11:00 AM (UTC)Grobiņas stadionā, Grobiņa
The Footlab AI model makes Grobiņa the favourite at 50%, against 26% for a draw and 24% for Ogre United. The most likely score is 1-1. If Grobiņa wins, the most likely score is 1-0.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.8% of the 1,754 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 9, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Grobiņa vs Ogre United?
On Elo ratings, Grobiņa has 1,523 points and Ogre United 1,470.
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Grobiņa vs Ogre United
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Grobiņa
4-4-2- 99A. Puzirevskis
- 13A. Aruna
- 6M. Corryn
- 87J. Ribeiro
- 88I. Tyshchenko
- 11O. Raščevskis
- 15A. Jovanović
- 3D. Družiņins
- 27R. Baravykas
- 2K. Rupeiks
- 21R. Ozols
Ogre United
4-3-3- 22L. Estevez Fernandez
- 9J. Fokam-Sandeu
- 7I. Pūlis
- 30A. Doroshenko
- 8T. Mickēvičs
- 19K. Čudars
- 55A. Kudeļkins
- 13K. Gulbis
- 5R. Šibass
- 27A. Molotkovs
- 1Ņ. Parfjonovs
Computed on October 9, 2026 at 01:43 AM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Grobiņa have 3 wins, 4 draws and 8 defeats; Ogre United have 4, 2 and 9.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 20, 2026 | Tukums(away) | 1-1 | Virsliga |
| Sep 12, 2026 | FS Jelgava(home) | 0-0 | Virsliga |
| Sep 6, 2026 | Auda(away) | 0-1 | Virsliga |
| Aug 29, 2026 | BFC Daugavpils(home) | 1-0 | Virsliga |
| Aug 21, 2026 | FK Liepaja(away) | 1-3 | Virsliga |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 20, 2026 | Super Nova(home) | 1-0 | Virsliga |
| Sep 16, 2026 | Auda(away) | 0-1 | Virsliga |
| Sep 11, 2026 | FK Liepaja(home) | 2-2 | Virsliga |
| Sep 5, 2026 | Tukums(away) | 1-2 | Virsliga |
| Aug 30, 2026 | Rīgas FS(home) | 0-3 | Virsliga |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 3 meetings: 0 Grobiņa wins, 3 draws, 0 Ogre United wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Jul 27, 2026 | Grobiņa 2-2 Ogre United | Virsliga |
| May 25, 2026 | Ogre United 1-1 Grobiņa | Virsliga |
| Apr 13, 2026 | Ogre United 1-1 Grobiņa | Virsliga |
Last archived meeting: Grobiņa vs Ogre United on Jul 27, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Grobiņa score 0.8 and concede 1.7 goals per match over their last 15; Ogre United score 1.1 and concede 2.5. The model gives a 51% probability of over 2.5 goals and 54% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Grobiņa | 0.8 | 1.7 | 4 | 6/15 | 6/15 |
| Ogre United | 1.1 | 2.5 | 2 | 8/15 | 12/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Grobiņa sit 8th in Virsliga (26 points from 31 matches) and Ogre United sit 10th (18 points from 31 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | Grobiņa | 31 | 5 | 11 | 15 | 21 | 52 | 26 |
| 10 | Ogre United | 31 | 4 | 6 | 21 | 30 | 76 | 18 |
A question about Grobiņa vs Ogre United?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Grobiņa vs Ogre United?
- The Footlab AI model makes Grobiņa the favourite at 50%, against 26% for a draw and 24% for Ogre United.
- Where and when is Grobiņa vs Ogre United played?
- Grobiņa vs Ogre United is played on October 17, 2026 at 11:00 AM (UTC) at Grobiņas stadionā, in the Virsliga.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 51% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.8% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.