Progress / AFA Olaine vs Riga Mariners: result 1-5 and analysis
1. LigaRegular Season - 5Kick-off on April 26, 2025 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Olaines stadions, Olaine
Full time
What was the result of Progress / AFA Olaine vs Riga Mariners?
Riga Mariners won 1-5 on April 26, 2025.
Goalscorers
- 56′K. CernovsProgress / AFA Olaine
- 59′A. GrazisRiga Mariners (pen.)
- 60′564974Riga Mariners
- 63′A. GrazisRiga Mariners
- 68′A. GrazisRiga Mariners
- 78′E. VisnakovsRiga Mariners
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Progress / AFA Olaine have 6 wins, 3 draws and 6 defeats; Riga Mariners have 2, 2 and 0.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 14, 2025 | Tukums II(home) | 0-1 | 1. Liga |
| Apr 5, 2025 | Ogre United(away) | 1-8 | 1. Liga |
| Mar 29, 2025 | JFK Ventspils(home) | 0-1 | 1. Liga |
| Nov 10, 2024 | JDFS Alberts(home) | 3-2 | 1. Liga |
| Nov 2, 2024 | Skanste(home) | 1-0 | 1. Liga |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 19, 2025 | Leevon / PPK(home) | 1-1 | 1. Liga |
| Apr 12, 2025 | Mārupe(away) | 2-1 | 1. Liga |
| Apr 5, 2025 | Skanste(home) | 1-0 | 1. Liga |
| Mar 29, 2025 | Riga FC II(away) | 1-1 | 1. Liga |
How many goals should we expect?
Progress / AFA Olaine score 1.7 and concede 1.7 goals per match over their last 15; Riga Mariners score 1.3 and concede 0.8.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Progress / AFA Olaine | 1.7 | 1.7 | 5 | 6/15 | 8/15 |
| Riga Mariners | 1.3 | 0.8 | 1 | 3/4 | 1/4 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Riga Mariners | 10 | 6 | 4 | 0 | 19 | 10 | 22 |
| 4 | Riga Mariners | 16 | 10 | 5 | 1 | 34 | 15 | 35 |
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy