Riga Mariners vs Skanste: prediction and stats
1. LigaRegular Season - 23Kick-off on October 17, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC)
The Footlab AI model makes Riga Mariners the favourite at 76%, against 14% for a draw and 10% for Skanste. The most likely score is 3-1.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.7% of the 2,365 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 13, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Riga Mariners vs Skanste?
Riga Mariners starts as the favourite with a 231-point Elo edge (1,634 vs 1,403).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Riga Mariners vs Skanste
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Riga Mariners
Not enough data to predict the Riga Mariners lineup.
Skanste
4-3-3- 11O. Bekeris
- 6O. Kellers
- 7L. Livcans
- 13E. Gauris
- 17G. Belickis
- 18M. Kletskiy
- 21K. Simpermanis
- 20O. Likas
- 9D. Petersons
- 8R. Linavskis
- 24T. Tolmanis
Computed on October 13, 2026 at 10:33 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Riga Mariners have 11 wins, 1 draw and 3 defeats; Skanste have 5, 1 and 9.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 10, 2026 | Metta / LU(away) | 0-4 | 1. Liga |
| Sep 19, 2026 | Valmiera / BSS(away) | 4-2 | 1. Liga |
| Sep 12, 2026 | Smiltene(away) | 1-4 | 1. Liga |
| Sep 5, 2026 | Rēzekne FA(home) | 5-0 | 1. Liga |
| Aug 29, 2026 | Rīgas FS II(home) | 3-1 | 1. Liga |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 10, 2026 | JDFS Alberts(home) | 0-2 | 1. Liga |
| Sep 20, 2026 | JFK Ventspils(away) | 0-1 | 1. Liga |
| Sep 14, 2026 | Rīgas FS II(away) | 4-3 | 1. Liga |
| Sep 7, 2026 | Riga FC II(away) | 2-3 | 1. Liga |
| Aug 30, 2026 | Tukums II(home) | 6-2 | 1. Liga |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 3 meetings: 3 Riga Mariners wins, 0 draws, 0 Skanste wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Jun 14, 2026 | Skanste 0-2 Riga Mariners | 1. Liga |
| Aug 2, 2025 | Skanste 2-3 Riga Mariners | 1. Liga |
| Apr 5, 2025 | Riga Mariners 1-0 Skanste | 1. Liga |
Last archived meeting: Skanste vs Riga Mariners on Jun 14, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Riga Mariners score 3.0 and concede 1.1 goals per match over their last 15; Skanste score 1.9 and concede 2.1. The model gives a 78% probability of over 2.5 goals and 63% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Riga Mariners | 3.0 | 1.1 | 7 | 7/15 | 11/15 |
| Skanste | 1.9 | 2.1 | 0 | 9/15 | 10/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Riga Mariners sit 4th in 1. Liga (47 points from 22 matches) and Skanste sit 7th (26 points from 22 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Riga Mariners | 22 | 14 | 5 | 3 | 50 | 27 | 47 |
| 7 | Skanste | 22 | 8 | 2 | 12 | 43 | 44 | 26 |
A question about Riga Mariners vs Skanste?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Riga Mariners vs Skanste?
- The Footlab AI model makes Riga Mariners the favourite at 76%, against 14% for a draw and 10% for Skanste.
- Where and when is Riga Mariners vs Skanste played?
- Riga Mariners vs Skanste is played on October 17, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC), in the 1. Liga.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 78% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.7% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.