Progress / AFA Olaine vs Smiltene: result 3-2 and analysis
1. LigaRegular Season - 19Kick-off on September 13, 2025 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Olaines stadions, Olaine
Full time
What was the result of Progress / AFA Olaine vs Smiltene?
Progress / AFA Olaine won 3-2 on September 13, 2025.
Goalscorers
- 2′K. CernovsProgress / AFA Olaine
- 31′K. RujaProgress / AFA Olaine
- 59′E. Maurs-BoksSmiltene
- 79′M. BoktaSmiltene
- 83′K. CernovsProgress / AFA Olaine
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Progress / AFA Olaine have 4 wins, 2 draws and 9 defeats; Smiltene have 6, 0 and 9.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 30, 2025 | Riga Mariners(away) | 0-6 | 1. Liga |
| Aug 23, 2025 | Augšdaugava(home) | 3-3 | 1. Liga |
| Aug 8, 2025 | Tukums II(away) | 1-8 | 1. Liga |
| Aug 3, 2025 | Ogre United(home) | 0-4 | 1. Liga |
| Jul 26, 2025 | JFK Ventspils(away) | 0-5 | 1. Liga |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 30, 2025 | Leevon / PPK(away) | 2-3 | 1. Liga |
| Aug 23, 2025 | Mārupe(away) | 3-0 | 1. Liga |
| Aug 9, 2025 | Skanste(home) | 1-2 | 1. Liga |
| Aug 1, 2025 | Riga FC II(away) | 2-0 | 1. Liga |
| Jul 27, 2025 | JDFS Alberts(home) | 2-4 | 1. Liga |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 4 Progress / AFA Olaine win(s), 1 draw(s), 1 Smiltene win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| May 4, 2025 | Smiltene 4-2 Progress / AFA Olaine | 1. Liga |
| Sep 21, 2024 | Smiltene 0-4 Progress / AFA Olaine | 1. Liga |
| May 18, 2024 | Progress / AFA Olaine 1-1 Smiltene | 1. Liga |
| Aug 20, 2023 | Smiltene 1-3 Progress / AFA Olaine | 1. Liga |
| Apr 23, 2023 | Progress / AFA Olaine 4-0 Smiltene | 1. Liga |
| Aug 21, 2022 | Smiltene 0-3 Progress / AFA Olaine | 1. Liga |
Last archived meeting: Smiltene vs Progress / AFA Olaine on May 4, 2025
How many goals should we expect?
Progress / AFA Olaine score 1.6 and concede 3.4 goals per match over their last 15; Smiltene score 2.0 and concede 2.1.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Progress / AFA Olaine | 1.6 | 3.4 | 1 | 10/15 | 13/15 |
| Smiltene | 2.0 | 2.1 | 3 | 10/15 | 13/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 | Smiltene | 10 | 0 | 4 | 6 | 9 | 27 | 4 |
| 13 | Smiltene | 17 | 2 | 4 | 11 | 21 | 47 | 10 |
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy