Progresul Fundulea vs Dunarea Calarasi: prediction and stats
Liga III - Serie 4Group 4 - 12Kick-off on November 7, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Stadionul Orășenesc, Fundulea
The Footlab AI model makes Progresul Fundulea the favourite at 61%, against 22% for a draw and 17% for Dunarea Calarasi. The most likely score is 1-1. If Progresul Fundulea wins, the most likely score is 2-1.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.7% of the 2,365 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 13, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Progresul Fundulea vs Dunarea Calarasi?
On Elo ratings, Progresul Fundulea has 1,578 points and Dunarea Calarasi 1,517.
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Progresul Fundulea vs Dunarea Calarasi
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Progresul Fundulea
Not enough data to predict the Progresul Fundulea lineup.
Dunarea Calarasi
4-3-3- DD. Grigore
- DD. Vultur
- AA. Blidar
- MM. Calu
- AAndrei Bogdan Moise
- TT. Popa
- II. Ţenea
- MM. Leca
- MM. Drăghici
- MM. Lupu
- AA. Costache
Computed on October 13, 2026 at 11:11 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Progresul Fundulea have 11 wins, 0 draws and 4 defeats; Dunarea Calarasi have 5, 2 and 8.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 10, 2026 | Sporting Lieşti(away) | 2-0 | Liga III - Serie 4 |
| Oct 3, 2026 | Gloria Băneasa(home) | 2-1 | Liga III - Serie 4 |
| Sep 26, 2026 | Recolta Gheorghe Doja(away) | 1-2 | Liga III - Serie 4 |
| Sep 23, 2026 | Axiopolis(home) | 4-0 | Liga III - Serie 4 |
| Sep 19, 2026 | Unirea Braniştea(away) | 2-4 | Liga III - Serie 4 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 9, 2026 | Înainte Modelu(away) | 0-2 | Liga III - Serie 4 |
| Oct 2, 2026 | Agigea(home) | 0-0 | Liga III - Serie 4 |
| Sep 26, 2026 | Portul Constanta(away) | 2-1 | Liga III - Serie 4 |
| Sep 23, 2026 | Sporting Lieşti(home) | 3-2 | Liga III - Serie 4 |
| Sep 19, 2026 | Gloria Băneasa(away) | 2-0 | Liga III - Serie 4 |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 1 Progresul Fundulea win, 3 draws, 2 Dunarea Calarasi wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Aug 28, 2026 | Dunarea Calarasi 0-1 Progresul Fundulea | Liga III - Serie 4 |
| Mar 28, 2026 | Progresul Fundulea 1-3 Dunarea Calarasi | Liga III - Serie 3 |
| Nov 1, 2025 | Dunarea Calarasi 1-1 Progresul Fundulea | Liga III - Serie 3 |
| May 10, 2025 | Progresul Fundulea 1-1 Dunarea Calarasi | Liga III - Serie 3 |
| Apr 18, 2025 | Dunarea Calarasi 0-0 Progresul Fundulea | Liga III - Serie 3 |
| Mar 29, 2025 | Progresul Fundulea 0-1 Dunarea Calarasi | Liga III - Serie 3 |
Last archived meeting: Dunarea Calarasi vs Progresul Fundulea on Aug 28, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Progresul Fundulea score 2.6 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; Dunarea Calarasi score 1.1 and concede 2.1. The model gives a 59% probability of over 2.5 goals and 56% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Progresul Fundulea | 2.6 | 1.3 | 5 | 9/15 | 11/15 |
| Dunarea Calarasi | 1.1 | 2.1 | 3 | 6/15 | 10/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Progresul Fundulea sit 8th in Liga III - Serie 4 (9 points from 6 matches) and Dunarea Calarasi sit 7th (10 points from 7 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | Dunarea Calarasi | 7 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 7 | 10 | 10 |
| 8 | Progresul Fundulea | 6 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 14 | 11 | 9 |
A question about Progresul Fundulea vs Dunarea Calarasi?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Progresul Fundulea vs Dunarea Calarasi?
- The Footlab AI model makes Progresul Fundulea the favourite at 61%, against 22% for a draw and 17% for Dunarea Calarasi.
- Where and when is Progresul Fundulea vs Dunarea Calarasi played?
- Progresul Fundulea vs Dunarea Calarasi is played on November 7, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Stadionul Orășenesc, in the Liga III - Serie 4.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 59% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.7% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.