Progresul Fundulea vs Sporting Lieşti: prediction and stats
Liga III - Serie 4Group 4 - 19Kick-off on March 6, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Stadionul Orășenesc, Fundulea
The Footlab AI model makes Progresul Fundulea the favourite at 40%, against 25% for a draw and 35% for Sporting Lieşti. The most likely score is 1-1. If Progresul Fundulea wins, the most likely score is 2-1.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.8% of the 2,451 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 16, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Progresul Fundulea vs Sporting Lieşti?
A very open match: only 58 Elo points separate Progresul Fundulea (1,578) and Sporting Lieşti (1,636).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Progresul Fundulea vs Sporting Lieşti
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Progresul Fundulea
Not enough data to predict the Progresul Fundulea lineup.
Sporting Lieşti
4-3-3- 9Viorel Costea
- 7Valentin Munteanu
- 99Petrisor Voinea
- 6Bogdan Crihana
- 5Daniel Munchiu
- 11Alexandru Stan
- 77Claudiu Maftei
- 19Tudor Nastase
- 18S. Podasca
- 15P. Popa
- 1Giulio Munteanu
Computed on October 16, 2026 at 06:12 AM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Progresul Fundulea have 11 wins, 0 draws and 4 defeats; Sporting Lieşti have 9, 0 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 10, 2026 | Sporting Lieşti(away) | 2-0 | Liga III - Serie 4 |
| Oct 3, 2026 | Gloria Băneasa(home) | 2-1 | Liga III - Serie 4 |
| Sep 26, 2026 | Recolta Gheorghe Doja(away) | 1-2 | Liga III - Serie 4 |
| Sep 23, 2026 | Axiopolis(home) | 4-0 | Liga III - Serie 4 |
| Sep 19, 2026 | Unirea Braniştea(away) | 2-4 | Liga III - Serie 4 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 10, 2026 | Progresul Fundulea(home) | 0-2 | Liga III - Serie 4 |
| Oct 3, 2026 | Agricola Borcea(away) | 3-5 | Liga III - Serie 4 |
| Sep 26, 2026 | FC Oţelul II(home) | 6-1 | Liga III - Serie 4 |
| Sep 23, 2026 | Dunarea Calarasi(away) | 2-3 | Liga III - Serie 4 |
| Sep 19, 2026 | Înainte Modelu(home) | 5-4 | Liga III - Serie 4 |
What does the head-to-head say?
In the last meeting: 1 Progresul Fundulea win, 0 draws, 0 Sporting Lieşti wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Oct 10, 2026 | Sporting Lieşti 0-2 Progresul Fundulea | Liga III - Serie 4 |
Last archived meeting: Sporting Lieşti vs Progresul Fundulea on Oct 10, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Progresul Fundulea score 2.6 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; Sporting Lieşti score 2.7 and concede 2.1. The model gives a 61% probability of over 2.5 goals and 64% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Progresul Fundulea | 2.6 | 1.3 | 5 | 9/15 | 11/15 |
| Sporting Lieşti | 2.7 | 2.1 | 2 | 11/15 | 12/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Progresul Fundulea sit 8th in Liga III - Serie 4 (9 points from 6 matches) and Sporting Lieşti sit 5th (12 points from 7 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | Sporting Lieşti | 7 | 4 | 0 | 3 | 24 | 16 | 12 |
| 8 | Progresul Fundulea | 6 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 14 | 11 | 9 |
A question about Progresul Fundulea vs Sporting Lieşti?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Progresul Fundulea vs Sporting Lieşti?
- The Footlab AI model makes Progresul Fundulea the favourite at 40%, against 25% for a draw and 35% for Sporting Lieşti.
- Where and when is Progresul Fundulea vs Sporting Lieşti played?
- Progresul Fundulea vs Sporting Lieşti is played on March 6, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Stadionul Orășenesc, in the Liga III - Serie 4.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 61% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.8% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.