Dunarea Calarasi vs Înainte Modelu: prediction and stats
Liga III - Serie 4Group 4 - 19Kick-off on March 6, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Complex Municipal Dunărea Teren 1 Ion Comșa, Călăraşi
The Footlab model makes Dunarea Calarasi the favourite at 39%, against 26% for a draw and 34% for Înainte Modelu. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 27, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Dunarea Calarasi vs Înainte Modelu?
A very open match: only 16 Elo points separate Dunarea Calarasi (1,449) and Înainte Modelu (1,464).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Dunarea Calarasi have 6 wins, 2 draws and 7 defeats; Înainte Modelu have 6, 2 and 7.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 12, 2026 | CS Afumati(home) | 0-3 | Cupa României |
| Aug 5, 2026 | Înainte Modelu(home) | 2-0 | Cupa României |
| Jul 29, 2026 | Gloria Băneasa(away) | 3-1 | Cupa României |
| May 22, 2026 | Flacăra Moreni(home) | 2-7 | Liga III - Play-offs |
| May 16, 2026 | Ştefăneşti(away) | 1-3 | Liga III - Play-offs |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 5, 2026 | Dunarea Calarasi(away) | 0-2 | Cupa României |
| Jul 29, 2026 | Recolta Gheorghe Doja(away) | 6-0 | Cupa României |
| May 22, 2026 | Tricolorul Breaza(home) | 3-2 | Liga III - Play-offs |
| May 16, 2026 | Flacăra Moreni(away) | 1-0 | Liga III - Play-offs |
| May 8, 2026 | Ştefăneşti(home) | 0-1 | Liga III - Play-offs |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 3 Dunarea Calarasi win(s), 1 draw(s), 2 Înainte Modelu win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Aug 5, 2026 | Dunarea Calarasi 2-0 Înainte Modelu | Cupa României |
| Nov 8, 2025 | Dunarea Calarasi 1-1 Înainte Modelu | Liga III - Serie 3 |
| Aug 29, 2025 | Înainte Modelu 2-1 Dunarea Calarasi | Liga III - Serie 3 |
| Jul 30, 2025 | Înainte Modelu 0-2 Dunarea Calarasi | Cupa României |
| Nov 16, 2024 | Dunarea Calarasi 2-0 Înainte Modelu | Liga III - Serie 3 |
| Sep 13, 2024 | Înainte Modelu 2-0 Dunarea Calarasi | Liga III - Serie 3 |
Last archived meeting: Dunarea Calarasi vs Înainte Modelu on Aug 5, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Dunarea Calarasi score 1.5 and concede 2.1 goals per match over their last 15; Înainte Modelu score 1.7 and concede 1.5. The model gives a 54% probability of over 2.5 goals and 58% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dunarea Calarasi | 1.5 | 2.1 | 4 | 8/15 | 11/15 |
| Înainte Modelu | 1.7 | 1.5 | 4 | 6/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Dunarea Calarasi vs Înainte Modelu?
- The Footlab model makes Dunarea Calarasi the favourite at 39%, against 26% for a draw and 34% for Înainte Modelu.
- Where and when is Dunarea Calarasi vs Înainte Modelu played?
- Dunarea Calarasi vs Înainte Modelu is played on March 6, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Complex Municipal Dunărea Teren 1 Ion Comșa, in the Liga III - Serie 4.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 54% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.