Prykarpattia vs Chernihiv: prediction and stats
Persha LigaRegular Season - 26Kick-off on May 8, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Miskyi Tsentralnyi Stadion Rukh, Ivano-Frankivsk
The Footlab model makes Prykarpattia the favourite at 43%, against 30% for a draw and 27% for Chernihiv. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Prykarpattia vs Chernihiv?
A very open match: only 27 Elo points separate Prykarpattia (1,630) and Chernihiv (1,603).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Prykarpattia have 4 wins, 6 draws and 5 defeats; Chernihiv have 2, 7 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 14, 2026 | Probiy Horodenka(home) | 3-0 | Persha Liga |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Kulykiv(away) | 1-2 | Persha Liga |
| Aug 2, 2026 | Lokomotiv Kyiv(home) | 2-2 | Persha Liga |
| Jul 26, 2026 | Kolos Kovalivka II(away) | 0-1 | Persha Liga |
| Jun 1, 2026 | Probiy Horodenka(away) | 3-0 | Persha Liga |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 15, 2026 | Polissya II(home) | 2-2 | Persha Liga |
| Aug 9, 2026 | Probiy Horodenka(away) | 1-1 | Persha Liga |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Kulykiv(home) | 1-1 | Persha Liga |
| Jul 25, 2026 | Lokomotiv Kyiv(away) | 1-1 | Persha Liga |
| Jul 15, 2026 | Obolon'-Brovar(away) | 2-3 | Friendlies Clubs |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 4 meetings: 2 Prykarpattia win(s), 0 draw(s), 2 Chernihiv win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Nov 29, 2025 | Chernihiv 1-0 Prykarpattia | Persha Liga |
| Aug 17, 2025 | Prykarpattia 0-3 Chernihiv | Persha Liga |
| May 26, 2023 | Chernihiv 0-2 Prykarpattia | Persha Liga |
| Apr 28, 2023 | Prykarpattia 2-0 Chernihiv | Persha Liga |
Last archived meeting: Chernihiv vs Prykarpattia on Nov 29, 2025
How many goals should we expect?
Prykarpattia score 1.2 and concede 1.0 goals per match over their last 15; Chernihiv score 1.1 and concede 1.4. The model gives a 40% probability of over 2.5 goals and 46% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Prykarpattia | 1.2 | 1.0 | 5 | 7/15 | 7/15 |
| Chernihiv | 1.1 | 1.4 | 3 | 10/15 | 7/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Prykarpattia sit 9th in Persha Liga (4 points from 4 matches) and Chernihiv sit 10th (4 points from 4 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | Prykarpattia | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 6 | 5 | 4 |
| 10 | Chernihiv | 4 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 5 | 5 | 4 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Prykarpattia vs Chernihiv?
- The Footlab model makes Prykarpattia the favourite at 43%, against 30% for a draw and 27% for Chernihiv.
- Where and when is Prykarpattia vs Chernihiv played?
- Prykarpattia vs Chernihiv is played on May 8, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Miskyi Tsentralnyi Stadion Rukh, in the Persha Liga.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 40% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.