PSIM Yogyakarta vs Persija: prediction and stats
Liga 1Regular Season - 4Kick-off on October 10, 2026 at 12:00 PM (UTC)Stadion Mandala Krida, Yogyakarta
The Footlab model makes Persija the favourite at 53%, against 25% for a draw and 22% for PSIM Yogyakarta. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win PSIM Yogyakarta vs Persija?
Persija starts as the favourite with a 119-point Elo edge (1,841 vs 1,721).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, PSIM Yogyakarta have 3 wins, 6 draws and 6 defeats; Persija have 8, 3 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| May 22, 2026 | Arema FC(away) | 1-3 | Liga 1 |
| May 17, 2026 | Persepam Madura Utd(home) | 2-1 | Liga 1 |
| May 10, 2026 | Malut United(home) | 2-0 | Liga 1 |
| May 4, 2026 | Persib Bandung(away) | 0-1 | Liga 1 |
| Apr 30, 2026 | Persita(home) | 0-1 | Liga 1 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 6, 2026 | Arema FC(home) | 3-1 | Piala Presiden |
| Aug 4, 2026 | Persib Bandung(away) | 1-2 | Piala Presiden |
| Aug 1, 2026 | PSMS Medan(home) | 4-1 | Piala Presiden |
| Jul 29, 2026 | Port FC(away) | 2-2 | Piala Presiden |
| Jul 26, 2026 | Persebaya Surabaya(away) | 0-1 | Piala Presiden |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 2 meetings: 0 PSIM Yogyakarta win(s), 1 draw(s), 1 Persija win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Apr 22, 2026 | PSIM Yogyakarta 1-1 Persija | Liga 1 |
| Nov 28, 2025 | Persija 2-0 PSIM Yogyakarta | Liga 1 |
Last archived meeting: PSIM Yogyakarta vs Persija on Apr 22, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
PSIM Yogyakarta score 1.3 and concede 1.4 goals per match over their last 15; Persija score 2.1 and concede 1.0. The model gives a 53% probability of over 2.5 goals and 54% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| PSIM Yogyakarta | 1.3 | 1.4 | 3 | 9/15 | 8/15 |
| Persija | 2.1 | 1.0 | 5 | 9/15 | 10/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
PSIM Yogyakarta sit 11th in Liga 1 (45 points from 34 matches) and Persija sit 3rd (71 points from 34 matches).
The current season has no played match yet: final standings of the 2025-26 season.
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Persija | 34 | 22 | 5 | 7 | 65 | 29 | 71 |
| 11 | PSIM Yogyakarta | 34 | 11 | 12 | 11 | 43 | 44 | 45 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for PSIM Yogyakarta vs Persija?
- The Footlab model makes Persija the favourite at 53%, against 25% for a draw and 22% for PSIM Yogyakarta.
- Where and when is PSIM Yogyakarta vs Persija played?
- PSIM Yogyakarta vs Persija is played on October 10, 2026 at 12:00 PM (UTC) at Stadion Mandala Krida, in the Liga 1.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 53% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Oct 9, 2026Persik KedirivsPersepam Madura Utd
- Oct 9, 2026AdhyaksavsPersebaya Surabaya
- Oct 10, 2026PersitavsGarudayaksa
- Oct 10, 2026Arema FCvsBhayangkara FC
- Oct 10, 2026Bali UnitedvsPersijap
- Oct 11, 2026Malut UnitedvsPusamania Borneo
- Oct 11, 2026Persib BandungvsDewa United
- Oct 11, 2026PSS SlemanvsPSM Makassar