Bali United vs Persijap: prediction and stats
Liga 1Regular Season - 4Kick-off on October 10, 2026 at 12:00 PM (UTC)Stadion Kapten I Wayan Dipta, Gianyar
The Footlab model makes Bali United the favourite at 54%, against 25% for a draw and 21% for Persijap. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Bali United vs Persijap?
A very open match: only 70 Elo points separate Bali United (1,775) and Persijap (1,705).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Bali United have 7 wins, 2 draws and 6 defeats; Persijap have 6, 6 and 3.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 18, 2026 | Persib Bandung(away) | 2-3 | Friendlies Clubs |
| May 22, 2026 | Dewa United(away) | 1-0 | Liga 1 |
| May 17, 2026 | Bhayangkara FC(home) | 4-1 | Liga 1 |
| May 11, 2026 | Pusamania Borneo(home) | 2-3 | Liga 1 |
| May 5, 2026 | Persepam Madura Utd(away) | 0-2 | Liga 1 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| May 23, 2026 | Persib Bandung(away) | 0-0 | Liga 1 |
| May 17, 2026 | Pusamania Borneo(home) | 0-0 | Liga 1 |
| May 10, 2026 | Persita(away) | 3-0 | Liga 1 |
| May 4, 2026 | Persija(home) | 0-2 | Liga 1 |
| Apr 29, 2026 | Dewa United(away) | 0-1 | Liga 1 |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 2 meetings: 1 Bali United win(s), 1 draw(s), 0 Persijap win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Feb 28, 2026 | Bali United 0-0 Persijap | Liga 1 |
| Oct 19, 2025 | Persijap 1-2 Bali United | Liga 1 |
Last archived meeting: Bali United vs Persijap on Feb 28, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Bali United score 2.1 and concede 1.6 goals per match over their last 15; Persijap score 1.0 and concede 0.7. The model gives a 52% probability of over 2.5 goals and 53% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bali United | 2.1 | 1.6 | 4 | 8/15 | 9/15 |
| Persijap | 1.0 | 0.7 | 9 | 3/15 | 5/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Bali United sit 8th in Liga 1 (51 points from 34 matches) and Persijap sit 13th (36 points from 34 matches).
The current season has no played match yet: final standings of the 2025-26 season.
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | Bali United | 34 | 14 | 9 | 11 | 57 | 48 | 51 |
| 13 | Persijap | 34 | 9 | 9 | 16 | 31 | 45 | 36 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Bali United vs Persijap?
- The Footlab model makes Bali United the favourite at 54%, against 25% for a draw and 21% for Persijap.
- Where and when is Bali United vs Persijap played?
- Bali United vs Persijap is played on October 10, 2026 at 12:00 PM (UTC) at Stadion Kapten I Wayan Dipta, in the Liga 1.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 52% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Oct 9, 2026Persik KedirivsPersepam Madura Utd
- Oct 9, 2026AdhyaksavsPersebaya Surabaya
- Oct 10, 2026PersitavsGarudayaksa
- Oct 10, 2026Arema FCvsBhayangkara FC
- Oct 10, 2026PSIM YogyakartavsPersija
- Oct 11, 2026Malut UnitedvsPusamania Borneo
- Oct 11, 2026Persib BandungvsDewa United
- Oct 11, 2026PSS SlemanvsPSM Makassar