PSV Eindhoven vs Willem II: prediction and stats
EredivisieRegular Season - 11Kick-off on October 31, 2026 at 05:45 PM (UTC)Philips Stadion, Eindhoven
The Footlab AI model makes PSV Eindhoven the favourite at 81%, against 12% for a draw and 7% for Willem II. The most likely score is 3-0.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.7% of the 2,365 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 14, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win PSV Eindhoven vs Willem II?
PSV Eindhoven is a heavy favourite: 2,224 Elo points against 1,786, a 439-point gap.
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for PSV Eindhoven vs Willem II
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
PSV Eindhoven
4-2-3-1- 21S. Mijnans
- 20G. Til
- 24K. Sano
- 7R. van Bommel
- 5I. Perišić
- 31N. Fernandez
- 4A. Obispo
- 8S. Dest
- 17Mauro Júnior
- 2L. Geertruida
- 32M. Kovář
Willem II
4-2-3-1- 9D. Haen
- 7J. Slory
- 19Uriel van Aalst
- 6C. Twigt
- 52T. Vilhena
- 32V. van Crooij
- 24N. Tjoe-A-On
- 3F. Stam
- 5H. ter Avest
- 23M. Dekker
- 26M. Delanghe
Computed on October 14, 2026 at 12:30 AM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, PSV Eindhoven have 9 wins, 2 draws and 4 defeats; Willem II have 4, 3 and 8.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 13, 2026 | RB Leipzig(away) | 0-1 | UEFA Champions League |
| Oct 9, 2026 | Heerenveen(home) | 2-0 | Eredivisie |
| Sep 20, 2026 | Twente(away) | 2-3 | Eredivisie |
| Sep 13, 2026 | Sparta Rotterdam(home) | 4-1 | Eredivisie |
| Sep 10, 2026 | Shakhtar Donetsk(home) | 1-1 | UEFA Champions League |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 11, 2026 | Utrecht(away) | 1-3 | Eredivisie |
| Sep 19, 2026 | Fortuna Sittard(home) | 0-1 | Eredivisie |
| Sep 15, 2026 | Ajax(away) | 1-5 | Eredivisie |
| Sep 11, 2026 | AZ Alkmaar(away) | 1-1 | Eredivisie |
| Sep 5, 2026 | Excelsior(home) | 0-3 | Eredivisie |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 4 PSV Eindhoven wins, 1 draw, 1 Willem II win.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Feb 8, 2025 | PSV Eindhoven 1-1 Willem II | Eredivisie |
| Sep 28, 2024 | Willem II 0-2 PSV Eindhoven | Eredivisie |
| May 1, 2022 | PSV Eindhoven 4-2 Willem II | Eredivisie |
| Sep 25, 2021 | Willem II 2-1 PSV Eindhoven | Eredivisie |
| May 9, 2021 | Willem II 0-2 PSV Eindhoven | Eredivisie |
| Nov 8, 2020 | PSV Eindhoven 3-0 Willem II | Eredivisie |
Last archived meeting: PSV Eindhoven vs Willem II on Feb 8, 2025
How many goals should we expect?
PSV Eindhoven score 2.7 and concede 1.6 goals per match over their last 15; Willem II score 1.2 and concede 2.1. The model gives a 74% probability of over 2.5 goals and 53% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| PSV Eindhoven | 2.7 | 1.6 | 2 | 11/15 | 12/15 |
| Willem II | 1.2 | 2.1 | 2 | 11/15 | 11/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
PSV Eindhoven sit 2nd in Eredivisie (19 points from 8 matches) and Willem II sit 18th (2 points from 8 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | PSV Eindhoven | 8 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 26 | 10 | 19 |
| 18 | Willem II | 8 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 7 | 23 | 2 |
A question about PSV Eindhoven vs Willem II?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for PSV Eindhoven vs Willem II?
- The Footlab AI model makes PSV Eindhoven the favourite at 81%, against 12% for a draw and 7% for Willem II.
- Where and when is PSV Eindhoven vs Willem II played?
- PSV Eindhoven vs Willem II is played on October 31, 2026 at 05:45 PM (UTC) at Philips Stadion, in the Eredivisie.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 74% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.7% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.