Excelsior vs Twente: prediction and stats
EredivisieRegular Season - 11Kick-off on November 1, 2026 at 01:30 PM (UTC)Van Donge & De Roo Stadion, Rotterdam
The Footlab AI model makes Twente the favourite at 61%, against 21% for a draw and 18% for Excelsior. The most likely score is 1-2.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.7% of the 2,365 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 13, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Excelsior vs Twente?
Twente starts as the favourite with a 182-point Elo edge (2,102 vs 1,919).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Excelsior vs Twente
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Excelsior
4-3-3- 19D. Garden
- 30Á. Þorsteinsson
- 7A. Sliti
- 3R. Meissen
- 20L. Hartjes
- 8I. Yegoian
- 14J. Plug
- 4C. Widell
- 2Eric Emanuel da Silva Moreira
- 15S. Janssen
- 1S. van Gassel
Twente
4-2-3-1- 9W. Weghorst
- 6R. Zerrouki
- 8D. Weidmann
- 10Y. Taha
- 7M. Pjaca
- 11D. Rots
- 28B. van Rooij
- 4R. Nijstad
- 3R. Pröpper
- 29A. Adelgaard
- 1L. Unnerstall
Computed on October 13, 2026 at 09:44 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Excelsior have 9 wins, 3 draws and 3 defeats; Twente have 8, 4 and 3.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 11, 2026 | Groningen(home) | 1-5 | Eredivisie |
| Sep 19, 2026 | Ajax(away) | 2-2 | Eredivisie |
| Sep 13, 2026 | Utrecht(home) | 1-2 | Eredivisie |
| Sep 8, 2026 | NEC Nijmegen(away) | 2-2 | Eredivisie |
| Sep 5, 2026 | Willem II(away) | 3-0 | Eredivisie |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 10, 2026 | Fortuna Sittard(away) | 1-1 | Eredivisie |
| Sep 20, 2026 | PSV Eindhoven(home) | 3-2 | Eredivisie |
| Sep 12, 2026 | ADO Den Haag(home) | 2-0 | Eredivisie |
| Sep 9, 2026 | Telstar(home) | 1-0 | Eredivisie |
| Sep 6, 2026 | Groningen(away) | 2-2 | Eredivisie |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 1 Excelsior win, 2 draws, 3 Twente wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Jan 24, 2026 | Twente 0-0 Excelsior | Eredivisie |
| Aug 30, 2025 | Excelsior 1-0 Twente | Eredivisie |
| Feb 10, 2024 | Excelsior 0-3 Twente | Eredivisie |
| Dec 8, 2023 | Twente 4-2 Excelsior | Eredivisie |
| Apr 1, 2023 | Excelsior 0-0 Twente | Eredivisie |
| Aug 31, 2022 | Twente 4-0 Excelsior | Eredivisie |
How many goals should we expect?
Excelsior score 2.5 and concede 1.6 goals per match over their last 15; Twente score 2.3 and concede 1.1. The model gives a 67% probability of over 2.5 goals and 63% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Excelsior | 2.5 | 1.6 | 3 | 12/15 | 13/15 |
| Twente | 2.3 | 1.1 | 4 | 9/15 | 10/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Excelsior sit 9th in Eredivisie (11 points from 8 matches) and Twente sit 4th (17 points from 8 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Twente | 8 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 16 | 8 | 17 |
| 9 | Excelsior | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 16 | 14 | 11 |
A question about Excelsior vs Twente?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Excelsior vs Twente?
- The Footlab AI model makes Twente the favourite at 61%, against 21% for a draw and 18% for Excelsior.
- Where and when is Excelsior vs Twente played?
- Excelsior vs Twente is played on November 1, 2026 at 01:30 PM (UTC) at Van Donge & De Roo Stadion, in the Eredivisie.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 67% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.7% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.