Puebla vs Toluca: result 0-2 and analysis
Liga MXApertura - 8Kick-off on September 11, 2016 at 11:00 PM (UTC)Estadio Cuauhtémoc, Puebla
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What was the result of Puebla vs Toluca?
Toluca won 0-2 on September 11, 2016.
Goalscorers
- 12′F. UribeToluca
- 53′E. TrejoToluca
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 7 matches in all competitions, Puebla have 2 wins, 3 draws and 2 defeats; Toluca have 1, 4 and 2.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 28, 2016 | Jaguares de Chiapas(away) | 3-0 | Liga MX |
| Aug 21, 2016 | Club America(home) | 2-2 | Liga MX |
| Aug 14, 2016 | Atlas(away) | 2-3 | Liga MX |
| Aug 7, 2016 | Santos Laguna(home) | 0-0 | Liga MX |
| Jul 30, 2016 | Club Queretaro(away) | 1-2 | Liga MX |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 28, 2016 | Monarcas(home) | 2-2 | Liga MX |
| Aug 20, 2016 | Veracruz(away) | 2-2 | Liga MX |
| Aug 14, 2016 | Tigres UANL(home) | 0-0 | Liga MX |
| Aug 7, 2016 | CF Pachuca(home) | 2-0 | Liga MX |
| Jul 31, 2016 | Jaguares de Chiapas(away) | 0-1 | Liga MX |
How many goals should we expect?
Puebla score 1.7 and concede 1.4 goals per match over their last 7; Toluca score 1.1 and concede 1.3.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Puebla | 1.7 | 1.4 | 2 | 5/7 | 5/7 |
| Toluca | 1.1 | 1.3 | 2 | 4/7 | 3/7 |
Over the last 7 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Puebla sit 11th in Liga MX (4 points from 3 matches) and Toluca sit 3rd (6 points from 3 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Toluca | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 3 | 6 |
| 3 | Toluca | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 8 | 4 | 10 |
| 5 | Puebla | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 9 | 7 | 10 |
| 11 | Puebla | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 4 |
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy