Purmersteijn vs Hoogeveen: prediction and stats
Derde DivisieRegular Season - 20Kick-off on January 24, 2027 at 02:00 PM (UTC)Sportpark Purmersteijn, Purmerend
The Footlab AI model makes Purmersteijn the favourite at 51%, against 21% for a draw and 28% for Hoogeveen. The most likely score is 2-1.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.0% of the 5,323 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Nov 11, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Purmersteijn vs Hoogeveen?
On Elo ratings, Purmersteijn has 1,846 points and Hoogeveen 1,783.
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Purmersteijn vs Hoogeveen
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Purmersteijn
4-3-3- 19N. Kwakman
- 24O. Nait Aicha
- 7D. Plasmeijer
- 21M. Eliasar
- 16S. den Dunnen
- 8V. Schep
- 6H. Oomens
- 2T. Polman
- 4D. Inyamah
- 5A. van Leeuwen
- 1D. Bakker
Hoogeveen
4-3-2-1- 9S. Egbers
- 19Joey Roufs
- 10E. Bijlsma
- 12Tom Heerkes
- 14Jim Veltmaat
- 8Menno Heerkes
- 21G. Klok
- 24Alagie Jabbie
- 2Bjorn Klaassens
- 7Noah Schuurman
- 1Nick Borgman
Computed on November 11, 2026 at 12:25 AM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Purmersteijn have 9 wins, 3 draws and 3 defeats; Hoogeveen have 5, 3 and 7.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 8, 2026 | Hollandia(home) | 4-1 | Derde Divisie |
| Oct 29, 2026 | Gemert(home) | 2-0 | KNVB Beker |
| Oct 25, 2026 | TEC(away) | 2-5 | Derde Divisie |
| Oct 17, 2026 | Sparta Nijkerk(home) | 3-0 | Derde Divisie |
| Oct 10, 2026 | ACV(away) | 1-1 | Derde Divisie |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 8, 2026 | TEC(home) | 2-2 | Derde Divisie |
| Oct 24, 2026 | Sparta Nijkerk(away) | 0-2 | Derde Divisie |
| Oct 17, 2026 | ACV(home) | 1-4 | Derde Divisie |
| Oct 10, 2026 | Harkemase Boys(away) | 1-2 | Derde Divisie |
| Oct 3, 2026 | SC Genemuiden(home) | 5-3 | Derde Divisie |
What does the head-to-head say?
In the last meeting: 1 Purmersteijn win, 0 draws, 0 Hoogeveen wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Aug 30, 2026 | Hoogeveen 1-2 Purmersteijn | Derde Divisie |
Last archived meeting: Hoogeveen vs Purmersteijn on Aug 30, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Purmersteijn score 2.1 and concede 1.4 goals per match over their last 15; Hoogeveen score 2.1 and concede 2.1. The model gives a 76% probability of over 2.5 goals and 74% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Purmersteijn | 2.1 | 1.4 | 3 | 11/15 | 9/15 |
| Hoogeveen | 2.1 | 2.1 | 0 | 13/15 | 13/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Purmersteijn sit 8th in Derde Divisie (21 points from 12 matches) and Hoogeveen sit 12th (14 points from 12 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | Purmersteijn | 12 | 6 | 3 | 3 | 25 | 18 | 21 |
| 12 | Hoogeveen | 12 | 4 | 2 | 6 | 26 | 27 | 14 |
A question about Purmersteijn vs Hoogeveen?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Purmersteijn vs Hoogeveen?
- The Footlab AI model makes Purmersteijn the favourite at 51%, against 21% for a draw and 28% for Hoogeveen.
- Where and when is Purmersteijn vs Hoogeveen played?
- Purmersteijn vs Hoogeveen is played on January 24, 2027 at 02:00 PM (UTC) at Sportpark Purmersteijn, in the Derde Divisie.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 76% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.0% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.