Match

Purmersteijn vs SVZW: prediction and stats

Derde DivisieRegular Season - 34Kick-off on May 22, 2027 at 01:30 PM (UTC)Sportpark Purmersteijn, Purmerend

PurmersteijnSVZW

The Footlab AI model makes Purmersteijn the favourite at 69%, against 17% for a draw and 14% for SVZW. The most likely score is 2-1.

Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.2% of the 2,919 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Oct 21, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Purmersteijn vs SVZW?

Purmersteijn starts as the favourite with a 142-point Elo edge (1,798 vs 1,656).

69%17%14%
Purmersteijn winDrawSVZW win

Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.

See the probabilities after AI analysisThe AI adds press reports and last-minute absences, in the Footlab AI app. Sign-in required.

Probable lineup for Purmersteijn vs SVZW

Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.

Purmersteijn

Not enough data to predict the Purmersteijn lineup.

SVZW

Not enough data to predict the SVZW lineup.

Computed on October 21, 2026 at 01:59 PM (UTC).

See the lineup updated by the AIPress reports and last-minute absences, in the Footlab AI app. Sign-in required.

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Purmersteijn have 8 wins, 3 draws and 4 defeats; SVZW have 1, 2 and 11.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Purmersteijn
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Oct 17, 2026Sparta Nijkerk(home)3-0Derde Divisie
Oct 10, 2026ACV(away)1-1Derde Divisie
Oct 3, 2026Harkemase Boys(home)4-2Derde Divisie
Sep 26, 2026SC Genemuiden(away)0-2Derde Divisie
Sep 23, 2026Zwaluwen(away)1-0KNVB Beker
SVZW
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Oct 17, 2026Hollandia(home)0-1Derde Divisie
Oct 10, 2026TEC(away)0-1Derde Divisie
Oct 3, 2026Sparta Nijkerk(home)0-2Derde Divisie
Sep 26, 2026ACV(away)0-4Derde Divisie
Sep 19, 2026Harkemase Boys(home)1-2Derde Divisie

How many goals should we expect?

Purmersteijn score 1.7 and concede 1.7 goals per match over their last 15; SVZW score 1.0 and concede 2.8. The model gives a 72% probability of over 2.5 goals and 63% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Purmersteijn1.71.7211/159/15
SVZW1.02.816/149/14

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Purmersteijn sit 8th in Derde Divisie (18 points from 10 matches) and SVZW sit 18th (1 point from 10 matches).

2026-27 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
8Purmersteijn10532191218
18SVZW100199281

A question about Purmersteijn vs SVZW?

Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.

Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Purmersteijn vs SVZW?
The Footlab AI model makes Purmersteijn the favourite at 69%, against 17% for a draw and 14% for SVZW.
Where and when is Purmersteijn vs SVZW played?
Purmersteijn vs SVZW is played on May 22, 2027 at 01:30 PM (UTC) at Sportpark Purmersteijn, in the Derde Divisie.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab AI model gives a 72% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.2% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.

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