Pusamania Borneo vs Bhayangkara FC: prediction and stats
Liga 1Regular Season - 21Kick-off on February 28, 2027 at 01:30 PM (UTC)Stadion Batakan, Balikpapan
The Footlab model makes Pusamania Borneo the favourite at 69%, against 18% for a draw and 13% for Bhayangkara FC. The most likely score is 2-0.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Pusamania Borneo vs Bhayangkara FC?
Pusamania Borneo starts as the favourite with a 170-point Elo edge (1,927 vs 1,758).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Pusamania Borneo have 11 wins, 3 draws and 1 defeats; Bhayangkara FC have 9, 0 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| May 23, 2026 | Malut United(home) | 7-1 | Liga 1 |
| May 17, 2026 | Persijap(away) | 0-0 | Liga 1 |
| May 11, 2026 | Bali United(away) | 3-2 | Liga 1 |
| May 5, 2026 | Persita(home) | 2-0 | Liga 1 |
| Apr 29, 2026 | Persik Kediri(away) | 1-0 | Liga 1 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| May 23, 2026 | PSBS Biak Numfor(home) | 7-0 | Liga 1 |
| May 17, 2026 | Bali United(away) | 1-4 | Liga 1 |
| May 11, 2026 | Persepam Madura Utd(home) | 3-1 | Liga 1 |
| May 4, 2026 | PSM Makassar(away) | 1-2 | Liga 1 |
| Apr 30, 2026 | Persib Bandung(home) | 2-4 | Liga 1 |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 4 Pusamania Borneo win(s), 1 draw(s), 1 Bhayangkara FC win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Feb 7, 2026 | Bhayangkara FC 1-2 Pusamania Borneo | Liga 1 |
| Aug 8, 2025 | Pusamania Borneo 1-0 Bhayangkara FC | Liga 1 |
| Feb 26, 2024 | Pusamania Borneo 4-0 Bhayangkara FC | Liga 1 |
| Aug 18, 2023 | Bhayangkara FC 0-2 Pusamania Borneo | Liga 1 |
| Feb 25, 2023 | Pusamania Borneo 1-3 Bhayangkara FC | Liga 1 |
| Sep 13, 2022 | Bhayangkara FC 2-2 Pusamania Borneo | Liga 1 |
Last archived meeting: Bhayangkara FC vs Pusamania Borneo on Feb 7, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Pusamania Borneo score 2.7 and concede 0.9 goals per match over their last 15; Bhayangkara FC score 2.4 and concede 1.7. The model gives a 65% probability of over 2.5 goals and 56% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pusamania Borneo | 2.7 | 0.9 | 4 | 11/15 | 11/15 |
| Bhayangkara FC | 2.4 | 1.7 | 3 | 12/15 | 14/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Pusamania Borneo sit 2nd in Liga 1 (79 points from 34 matches) and Bhayangkara FC sit 5th (53 points from 34 matches).
The current season has no played match yet: final standings of the 2025-26 season.
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Pusamania Borneo | 34 | 25 | 4 | 5 | 74 | 31 | 79 |
| 5 | Bhayangkara FC | 34 | 16 | 5 | 13 | 53 | 45 | 53 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Pusamania Borneo vs Bhayangkara FC?
- The Footlab model makes Pusamania Borneo the favourite at 69%, against 18% for a draw and 13% for Bhayangkara FC.
- Where and when is Pusamania Borneo vs Bhayangkara FC played?
- Pusamania Borneo vs Bhayangkara FC is played on February 28, 2027 at 01:30 PM (UTC) at Stadion Batakan, in the Liga 1.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 65% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.