Dewa United vs Arema FC: prediction and stats
Liga 1Regular Season - 21Kick-off on February 27, 2027 at 01:30 PM (UTC)
The Footlab model makes Dewa United the favourite at 50%, against 26% for a draw and 24% for Arema FC. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Dewa United vs Arema FC?
A very open match: only 59 Elo points separate Dewa United (1,806) and Arema FC (1,747).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Dewa United have 8 wins, 3 draws and 4 defeats; Arema FC have 7, 2 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| May 22, 2026 | Bali United(home) | 0-1 | Liga 1 |
| May 16, 2026 | Persis Solo(away) | 0-1 | Liga 1 |
| May 8, 2026 | PSBS Biak Numfor(away) | 5-0 | Liga 1 |
| May 3, 2026 | Semen Padang(home) | 1-0 | Liga 1 |
| Apr 29, 2026 | Persijap(home) | 1-0 | Liga 1 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 6, 2026 | Persija(away) | 1-3 | Piala Presiden |
| Aug 4, 2026 | Persebaya Surabaya(away) | 0-1 | Piala Presiden |
| Jul 31, 2026 | DPMM FC Brunei(home) | 2-0 | Piala Presiden |
| Jul 28, 2026 | Tampines Rovers(away) | 2-1 | Piala Presiden |
| Jul 25, 2026 | Persib Bandung(away) | 0-1 | Piala Presiden |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 4 Dewa United win(s), 1 draw(s), 1 Arema FC win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Jan 26, 2026 | Dewa United 2-0 Arema FC | Liga 1 |
| Sep 13, 2025 | Arema FC 1-2 Dewa United | Liga 1 |
| Jan 11, 2025 | Dewa United 2-0 Arema FC | Liga 1 |
| Aug 12, 2024 | Arema FC 0-0 Dewa United | Liga 1 |
| Nov 2, 2023 | Arema FC 2-1 Dewa United | Liga 1 |
| Jul 2, 2023 | Dewa United 1-0 Arema FC | Liga 1 |
Last archived meeting: Dewa United vs Arema FC on Jan 26, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Dewa United score 1.3 and concede 0.9 goals per match over their last 15; Arema FC score 1.5 and concede 1.3. The model gives a 51% probability of over 2.5 goals and 54% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dewa United | 1.3 | 0.9 | 5 | 6/15 | 6/15 |
| Arema FC | 1.5 | 1.3 | 5 | 7/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Dewa United sit 7th in Liga 1 (53 points from 34 matches) and Arema FC sit 9th (48 points from 34 matches).
The current season has no played match yet: final standings of the 2025-26 season.
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | Dewa United | 34 | 16 | 5 | 13 | 44 | 37 | 53 |
| 9 | Arema FC | 34 | 13 | 9 | 12 | 53 | 47 | 48 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Dewa United vs Arema FC?
- The Footlab model makes Dewa United the favourite at 50%, against 26% for a draw and 24% for Arema FC.
- Where and when is Dewa United vs Arema FC played?
- Dewa United vs Arema FC is played on February 27, 2027 at 01:30 PM (UTC), in the Liga 1.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 51% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Feb 23, 2027GarudayaksavsPersita
- Feb 24, 2027PSS SlemanvsBali United
- Feb 25, 2027PSIM YogyakartavsPersepam Madura Utd
- Feb 25, 2027Malut UnitedvsAdhyaksa
- Feb 26, 2027Persik KedirivsPersija
- Feb 27, 2027Persebaya SurabayavsPSM Makassar
- Feb 28, 2027Pusamania BorneovsBhayangkara FC
- Feb 28, 2027Persib BandungvsPersijap