Match

Persebaya Surabaya vs PSM Makassar: prediction and stats

Liga 1Matchday 21Kick-off on February 27, 2027 at 01:30 PM (UTC)Stadion Gelora Bung Tomo, Surabaya

Persebaya SurabayaPSM Makassar

The Footlab AI model makes Persebaya Surabaya the favourite at 44%, against 28% for a draw and 28% for PSM Makassar. The most likely score is 1-1. If Persebaya Surabaya wins, the most likely score is 1-0.

Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.4% of the 6,384 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Nov 15, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Persebaya Surabaya vs PSM Makassar?

Persebaya Surabaya starts as the favourite with a 116-point Elo edge (1,897 vs 1,780).

44%28%28%
Persebaya Surabaya winDrawPSM Makassar win

Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.

See the probabilities after AI analysisThe AI adds press reports and last-minute absences, in the Footlab AI app. Sign-in required.

Probable lineup for Persebaya Surabaya vs PSM Makassar

Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.

Persebaya Surabaya

4-3-3
  1. 11Miguel Pereira
  2. 39Alex
  3. 16R. Pratama
  1. 40Gledson
  2. 68T. Firmansyah
  3. 7F. Rivera
  1. 17Jefferson
  2. 4Yuran Fernandes
  3. 2A. Catur
  4. 34Wálber
  1. 30Muhammad Reza Pratama

PSM Makassar

4-3-3
  1. 24R. Eka Pratama
  2. 7L. Veldwijk
  3. 71M. Hidayat
  1. 8S. Jevtoski
  2. 11L. Bulatović
  3. 10N. Foor
  1. 22Victor Luiz
  2. 2Aloísio Neto
  3. 94D. Lagator
  4. 43N. Lalić
  1. 1M. Ardiansyah

Computed on November 15, 2026 at 04:33 PM (UTC).

See the lineup updated by the AIPress reports and last-minute absences, in the Footlab AI app. Sign-in required.

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Persebaya Surabaya have 7 wins, 5 draws and 3 defeats; PSM Makassar have 4, 4 and 7.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Persebaya Surabaya
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Nov 7, 2026Persija(away)0-1Liga 1
Nov 3, 2026Tornado Pekanbaru(away)2-3League Cup Indonesia
Oct 30, 2026Persijap(home)1-1Liga 1
Oct 26, 2026Persepam Madura Utd(home)3-1Liga 1
Oct 22, 2026PSM Makassar(away)0-1Liga 1
PSM Makassar
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Nov 7, 2026Pusamania Borneo(away)1-1Liga 1
Nov 3, 2026Dejan(away)2-0League Cup Indonesia
Oct 31, 2026Persepam Madura Utd(home)0-1Liga 1
Oct 26, 2026Bhayangkara FC(away)0-0Liga 1
Oct 22, 2026Persebaya Surabaya(home)1-0Liga 1

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 6 meetings: 2 Persebaya Surabaya wins, 3 draws, 1 PSM Makassar win.

DateScoreCompetition
Oct 22, 2026PSM Makassar 1-0 Persebaya SurabayaLiga 1
Feb 25, 2026Persebaya Surabaya 1-0 PSM MakassarLiga 1
Dec 6, 2025PSM Makassar 1-1 Persebaya SurabayaLiga 1
Mar 7, 2025PSM Makassar 0-1 Persebaya SurabayaLiga 1
Oct 23, 2024Persebaya Surabaya 1-1 PSM MakassarLiga 1
Feb 28, 2024PSM Makassar 0-0 Persebaya SurabayaLiga 1

Last archived meeting: PSM Makassar vs Persebaya Surabaya on Oct 22, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

Persebaya Surabaya score 1.2 and concede 0.9 goals per match over their last 15; PSM Makassar score 1.0 and concede 1.6. The model gives a 47% probability of over 2.5 goals and 52% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Persebaya Surabaya1.20.958/154/15
PSM Makassar1.01.637/158/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Persebaya Surabaya sit 8th in Liga 1 (13 points from 9 matches) and PSM Makassar sit 12th (10 points from 9 matches).

2026-27 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
8Persebaya Surabaya934210813
12PSM Makassar9243101410

A question about Persebaya Surabaya vs PSM Makassar?

Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.

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Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Persebaya Surabaya vs PSM Makassar?
The Footlab AI model makes Persebaya Surabaya the favourite at 44%, against 28% for a draw and 28% for PSM Makassar.
Where and when is Persebaya Surabaya vs PSM Makassar played?
Persebaya Surabaya vs PSM Makassar is played on February 27, 2027 at 01:30 PM (UTC) at Stadion Gelora Bung Tomo, in the Liga 1.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab AI model gives a 47% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.4% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.

Other matches in the same round

Next match: Persebaya Surabaya and PSM Makassar