Qarabag vs Ajax: result 2-4 and analysis
UEFA Champions LeagueLeague Stage - 6Kick-off on December 10, 2025 at 05:45 PM (UTC)Tofiq Bəhramov adına Respublika stadionu, Baku
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What was the result of Qarabag vs Ajax?
Ajax won 2-4 on December 10, 2025.
Goalscorers
- 10′C. DuránQarabag
- 39′K. DolbergAjax
- 47′Matheus SilvaQarabag
- 79′O. GloukhAjax
- 83′A. GaaeiAjax
- 90′O. GloukhAjax
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Qarabag have 10 wins, 3 draws and 2 defeats; Ajax have 4, 3 and 8.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 6, 2025 | Zira(away) | 1-1 | Premyer Liqa |
| Dec 3, 2025 | Karvan(home) | 3-0 | Cup |
| Nov 29, 2025 | Karvan(home) | 2-0 | Premyer Liqa |
| Nov 25, 2025 | Napoli(away) | 0-2 | UEFA Champions League |
| Nov 21, 2025 | Sumqayıt(away) | 4-2 | Premyer Liqa |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 6, 2025 | Fortuna Sittard(away) | 3-1 | Eredivisie |
| Dec 2, 2025 | Groningen(home) | 2-0 | Eredivisie |
| Nov 25, 2025 | Benfica(home) | 0-2 | UEFA Champions League |
| Nov 22, 2025 | Excelsior(home) | 1-2 | Eredivisie |
| Nov 9, 2025 | Utrecht(away) | 1-2 | Eredivisie |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 1 meetings: 0 Qarabag win(s), 0 draw(s), 1 Ajax win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Oct 24, 2024 | Qarabag 0-3 Ajax | UEFA Europa League |
How many goals should we expect?
Qarabag score 1.9 and concede 0.7 goals per match over their last 15; Ajax score 1.3 and concede 2.1.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Qarabag | 1.9 | 0.7 | 9 | 5/15 | 6/15 |
| Ajax | 1.3 | 2.1 | 1 | 9/15 | 10/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Qarabag sit 22nd in UEFA Champions League (10 points from 8 matches) and Ajax sit 32nd (6 points from 8 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 | Qarabag | 8 | 3 | 1 | 4 | 13 | 21 | 10 |
| 32 | Ajax | 8 | 2 | 0 | 6 | 8 | 21 | 6 |
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy