Qarabag vs Kapaz: result 1-0 and analysis
Premyer LiqaRegular Season - 25Kick-off on October 4, 2025 at 01:00 PM (UTC)Tofiq Bəhramov adına Respublika stadionu, Baku
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What was the result of Qarabag vs Kapaz?
Qarabag won 1-0 on October 4, 2025.
Goalscorers
- 38′S. MmaeeQarabag
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Qarabag have 11 wins, 1 draws and 3 defeats; Kapaz have 2, 3 and 10.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 1, 2025 | FC Copenhagen(home) | 2-0 | UEFA Champions League |
| Sep 26, 2025 | Qabala(home) | 2-0 | Premyer Liqa |
| Sep 21, 2025 | Araz(away) | 5-0 | Premyer Liqa |
| Sep 16, 2025 | Benfica(away) | 3-2 | UEFA Champions League |
| Sep 12, 2025 | Zira(home) | 1-1 | Premyer Liqa |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 28, 2025 | Turan(away) | 0-3 | Premyer Liqa |
| Sep 20, 2025 | Qabala(away) | 0-3 | Premyer Liqa |
| Sep 12, 2025 | Araz(home) | 0-2 | Premyer Liqa |
| Aug 30, 2025 | Zira(away) | 0-5 | Premyer Liqa |
| Aug 23, 2025 | Karvan(home) | 2-3 | Premyer Liqa |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 5 Qarabag win(s), 1 draw(s), 0 Kapaz win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| May 18, 2025 | Qarabag 3-0 Kapaz | Premyer Liqa |
| Mar 15, 2025 | Kapaz 0-0 Qarabag | Premyer Liqa |
| Oct 18, 2024 | Kapaz 0-5 Qarabag | Premyer Liqa |
| Aug 9, 2024 | Qarabag 3-0 Kapaz | Premyer Liqa |
| Mar 29, 2024 | Kapaz 1-6 Qarabag | Premyer Liqa |
| Jan 27, 2024 | Kapaz 1-2 Qarabag | Premyer Liqa |
How many goals should we expect?
Qarabag score 2.2 and concede 0.8 goals per match over their last 15; Kapaz score 0.5 and concede 2.1.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Qarabag | 2.2 | 0.8 | 8 | 6/15 | 7/15 |
| Kapaz | 0.5 | 2.1 | 3 | 4/15 | 9/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Qarabag sit 4th in Premyer Liqa (3 points from 1 matches) and Kapaz sit 12th (0 points from 1 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Qarabag | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 3 |
| 12 | Kapaz | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 |
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy