Kapaz vs Zira: prediction and stats
Premyer LiqaRegular Season - 8Kick-off on October 18, 2026 at 02:30 PM (UTC)Şəhər stadionu, Gəncə
The Footlab AI model makes Zira the favourite at 43%, against 29% for a draw and 28% for Kapaz. The most likely score is 1-1. If Zira wins, the most likely score is 0-1.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.8% of the 2,449 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 15, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Kapaz vs Zira?
Zira starts as the favourite with a 239-point Elo edge (1,892 vs 1,653).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Kapaz vs Zira
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Kapaz
4-3-3- 9K. Kalunga
- 21Asumah Abubakar
- 10Rahman Haciyev
- 3M. Ba
- 7N. Ələsgərov
- 11V. Stînă
- 4M. Abuladze
- 14A. Fofana
- 34Ü. Abbasov
- 66D. Domgjoni
- 1Rogério Santos
Zira
4-3-3- 9D. Volkovi
- 27L. Bayéré
- 7E. Aydın
- 21Guima
- 11A. Guseynov
- 8İ. İbrahimli
- 4Ruan
- 5A. Mutsinzi
- 2A. Seydiyev
- 32Q. Alıyev
- 72H. Quliyev
Computed on October 15, 2026 at 11:11 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Kapaz have 6 wins, 1 draw and 8 defeats; Zira have 6, 4 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 9, 2026 | Araz(away) | 2-0 | Premyer Liqa |
| Sep 20, 2026 | Sumqayıt(home) | 1-1 | Premyer Liqa |
| Sep 12, 2026 | Qabala(home) | 1-0 | Premyer Liqa |
| Sep 4, 2026 | Şamaxı FK(home) | 1-4 | Premyer Liqa |
| Aug 30, 2026 | Turan(home) | 1-0 | Premyer Liqa |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 10, 2026 | Şamaxı FK(home) | 1-1 | Premyer Liqa |
| Sep 19, 2026 | Turan(away) | 0-1 | Premyer Liqa |
| Sep 13, 2026 | Qarabag(home) | 1-1 | Premyer Liqa |
| Sep 5, 2026 | Sabah FA(away) | 0-5 | Premyer Liqa |
| Aug 30, 2026 | Neftchi Baku(home) | 1-0 | Premyer Liqa |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 0 Kapaz wins, 1 draw, 5 Zira wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Mar 9, 2026 | Zira 2-2 Kapaz | Premyer Liqa |
| Nov 28, 2025 | Kapaz 0-2 Zira | Premyer Liqa |
| Aug 30, 2025 | Zira 5-0 Kapaz | Premyer Liqa |
| Apr 26, 2025 | Kapaz 0-1 Zira | Premyer Liqa |
| Feb 24, 2025 | Zira 2-0 Kapaz | Premyer Liqa |
| Dec 8, 2024 | Kapaz 0-4 Zira | Premyer Liqa |
How many goals should we expect?
Kapaz score 0.7 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; Zira score 1.3 and concede 1.1. The model gives a 40% probability of over 2.5 goals and 47% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kapaz | 0.7 | 1.3 | 5 | 4/15 | 3/15 |
| Zira | 1.3 | 1.1 | 5 | 7/15 | 7/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Kapaz sit 6th in Premyer Liqa (10 points from 6 matches) and Zira sit 5th (11 points from 7 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | Zira | 7 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 8 | 9 | 11 |
| 6 | Kapaz | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 6 | 7 | 10 |
A question about Kapaz vs Zira?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Kapaz vs Zira?
- The Footlab AI model makes Zira the favourite at 43%, against 29% for a draw and 28% for Kapaz.
- Where and when is Kapaz vs Zira played?
- Kapaz vs Zira is played on October 18, 2026 at 02:30 PM (UTC) at Şəhər stadionu, in the Premyer Liqa.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 40% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.8% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.