Qarabag vs Ludogorets: result 1-2 and analysis
UEFA Champions League3rd Qualifying RoundKick-off on August 6, 2024 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Tofiq Bəhramov adına Respublika stadionu, Baku
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What was the result of Qarabag vs Ludogorets?
Ludogorets won 1-2 on August 6, 2024.
Goalscorers
- 56′Dinis AlmeidaLudogorets
- 64′JuninhoQarabag
- 87′Caio VidalLudogorets
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Qarabag have 10 wins, 2 draws and 3 defeats; Ludogorets have 10, 0 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 2, 2024 | Araz(away) | 4-1 | Premyer Liqa |
| Jul 30, 2024 | Lincoln Red Imps FC(home) | 5-0 | UEFA Champions League |
| Jul 23, 2024 | Lincoln Red Imps FC(away) | 2-0 | UEFA Champions League |
| Jul 16, 2024 | NK Slaven Belupo(home) | 1-0 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 9, 2024 | Plzen(away) | 2-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 3, 2024 | Arda Kardzhali(home) | 5-1 | First League |
| Jul 31, 2024 | Dinamo Minsk(away) | 0-1 | UEFA Champions League |
| Jul 24, 2024 | Dinamo Minsk(home) | 2-0 | UEFA Champions League |
| Jul 21, 2024 | CSKA Sofia(home) | 1-0 | First League |
| Jul 17, 2024 | Dinamo Batumi(away) | 0-1 | UEFA Champions League |
How many goals should we expect?
Qarabag score 2.5 and concede 1.2 goals per match over their last 15; Ludogorets score 2.1 and concede 0.9.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Qarabag | 2.5 | 1.2 | 5 | 9/15 | 11/15 |
| Ludogorets | 2.1 | 0.9 | 6 | 5/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 | Qarabag | 8 | 3 | 1 | 4 | 13 | 21 | 10 |
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy